Match Info

Premier League - Round 11

Date: 30 November 2025, Sunday


	Kakamega Homeboyz		Kenya CB

	1	X	2
	2.08	2.62	4.05
	2.16	2.44	4.32
	1.74	3.17	4.91	Watch
	2.16	2.61	3.93
	2.08	2.54	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↑ (1.7)	2.68 ↓ (3.05)	4.28 ↓ (5.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kakamega Homeboyz
44.6%

Draw
34.1%

Kenya CB
21.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.8%

29.4%

17.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.7%

28.4%

17.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kakamega Homeboyz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kakamega Homeboyz's form might have worsened.

Kenya CB has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kakamega Homeboyz than the current prediction. (+10.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kakamega Homeboyz, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kenya CB than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

Kakamega Homeboyz - Kenya CB Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, Bendeka G. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
53', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Homeboyz won 1.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

KCB may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, KCB has had a series of away games.

In this match, Homeboyz is seen as the favorite.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Homeboyz won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:14. (average 1:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Homeboyz won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 0.8:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kakamega Homeboyz
Kenyan Premier League
23.11.25	Kakamega Homeboyz - Posta Rangers	2:0 ✺
15.11.25	Mathare United - Kakamega Homeboyz	2:0 ✺
09.11.25	Kakamega Homeboyz - Muranga Seal	1:1 ✺
02.11.25	Kakamega Homeboyz - Tusker	1:1 ✺
29.10.25	APS Bomet - Kakamega Homeboyz	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WLTTW
- Kenya Commercial Bank SC
Kenyan Premier League
22.11.25	Mara Sugar - Kenya CB	0:1 ✺
14.11.25	Kenya CB - Bidco United	0:0 ✺
09.11.25	Bandari - Kenya CB	1:1 ✺
02.11.25	Muranga Seal - Kenya CB	2:1 ✺
25.10.25	AFC Leopards - Kenya CB	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Kenyan Premier League
30.03.25	Kakamega Homeboyz - Kenya CB	2:2
Kenyan FKF Cup
27.04.24	Kenya CB - Kakamega Homeboyz	1:0
Kenyan Premier League
11.02.24	Kenya CB - Kakamega Homeboyz	1:2
27.09.23	Kakamega Homeboyz - Kenya CB	0:2
29.03.23	Kakamega Homeboyz - Kenya CB	0:0
27.11.22	Kenya CB - Kakamega Homeboyz	0:1
15.05.22	Kakamega Homeboyz - Kenya CB	2:1

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