Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE NORTH - ROUND 45

Date: 22 April 2023, Saturday


	Kettering Town		Chester

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.1	2.25
	2.8	3.15	2.3
	2.84	3.2	2.54
	4.2	3.5	1.75
	2.86	3.18	2.44
	2.8	3.1	2.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.04 ↓ (4.22)	3.21 ↓ (3.5)	2.27 ↑ (1.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kettering Town
30.4%

Draw
28.9%

Chester
40.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.8%

26.3%

51.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.8%

26.3%

51.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kettering Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kettering Town's performance.

Chester has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Chester might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kettering Town than the current prediction. (-8.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kettering Town that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chester than the current prediction. (+11.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Chester could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Kettering Town - Chester Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 19 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Recent matches Kettering is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Chester is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Chester will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Kettering won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Kettering won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kettering Town
English National League North
15.04.23	Spennymoor Town - Kettering Town	4:2 ✺
10.04.23	Kettering Town - Leamington	3:0 ✺
07.04.23	King`s Lynn Town - Kettering Town	4:1 ✺
01.04.23	Kettering Town - Scarborough Athletic	1:1 ✺
28.03.23	Kettering Town - Peterborough Sports	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LWLTT
- Chester City
English National League North
15.04.23	Chester - Farsley	2:2 ✺
10.04.23	Southport - Chester	1:2 ✺
07.04.23	Chester - Chorley	0:0 ✺
01.04.23	Darlington - Chester	1:2 ✺
25.03.23	Blyth Spartans - Chester	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 TWTWW

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
22.10.22	Chester - Kettering Town	4:0
19.03.22	Chester - Kettering Town	4:0
09.10.21	Kettering Town - Chester	0:0
06.02.21	Kettering Town - Chester	Canceled
13.08.19	Kettering Town - Chester	1:1

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