Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE NORTH - ROUND 20

Date: 26 November 2022, Saturday


	Kettering Town		Southport

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.3	1.85
	4	3.35	1.77
	3.6	3.45	1.88
	3.83	3.64	1.86
	3.9	3.2	1.88
	4	3.48	1.8
	3.6	3.45	1.88
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.79 ↑ (3.34)	3.41 ↑ (3.17)	1.85 ↓ (1.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kettering Town
24%

Draw
26.7%

Southport
49.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.8%

28.2%

45%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.6%

26.9%

47.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kettering Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Southport has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kettering Town than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Southport than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	0%	87.5%

Kettering Town - Southport Predictions

Users Predictions: Southport will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 20 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Last 4 head-to-head matches Kettering won 2.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Kettering could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Southport have a series of home games.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Kettering won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Kettering won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kettering Town
English FA Trophy
19.11.22	Kettering Town - Gloucester City	1:0 ✺
English National League North
12.11.22	Chorley - Kettering Town	2:0 ✺
08.11.22	Kettering Town - Hereford	2:0 ✺
05.11.22	Brackley Town - Kettering Town	3:0 ✺
01.11.22	Kettering Town - Banbury United	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WLWLT
- Southport
English FA Trophy
19.11.22	Southport - Curzon Ashton	1:3 ✺
English National League North
15.11.22	Southport - King`s Lynn Town	1:1 ✺
12.11.22	Southport - Farsley	4:0 ✺
08.11.22	Southport - Brackley Town	2:2 ✺
05.11.22	Southport - Chorley	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 LTWTW

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
02.04.22	Southport - Kettering Town	0:1
01.02.22	Kettering Town - Southport	2:1
03.11.20	Kettering Town - Southport	0:1
31.08.19	Southport - Kettering Town	1:1
English National League
13.03.12	Southport - Kettering Town	N/A

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