Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE NORTH - ROUND 22

Date: 6 December 2022, Tuesday 🏁 Finished


	Kettering Town		Gloucester City

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.3	2
	2.88	3.15	2.23
	3	3.35	2.13
	3.3	3.27	2.13
	3.2	3.2	2.1
	3.14	3.38	2.09
	3.1	3.3	2.11
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.1 ↑ (2.67)	3.28 ↑ (3.12)	2.11 ↓ (2.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kettering Town
29.3%

Draw
27.7%

Gloucester City
43%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

33.8%

28.9%

37.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.1%

28.6%

37.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kettering Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Gloucester City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gloucester City's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kettering Town than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gloucester City than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gloucester City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	14.3%	35.7%

Kettering Town - Gloucester City Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Kettering will win (votes: 7 - 50%). Gloucester will win (votes: 5 - 35.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kettering: 23.8% – 76.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation and 11).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Kettering won 3.

Recent matches Kettering is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Gloucester is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Gloucester could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Kettering won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Kettering won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kettering Town
English National League North
02.12.22	Darlington - Kettering Town	2:2 ✺
26.11.22	Kettering Town - Southport	0:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
19.11.22	Kettering Town - Gloucester City	1:0 ✺
English National League North
12.11.22	Chorley - Kettering Town	2:0 ✺
08.11.22	Kettering Town - Hereford	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.7 TTWLW
- Gloucester City
English National League North
03.12.22	Gloucester City - Fylde	1:2 ✺
26.11.22	Kidderminster Harriers - Gloucester City	0:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
19.11.22	Kettering Town - Gloucester City	1:0 ✺
English National League North
12.11.22	Gloucester City - Scarborough Athletic	2:3 ✺
08.11.22	Gloucester City - Buxton	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

English FA Trophy
19.11.22	Kettering Town - Gloucester City	1:0
English National League North
15.04.22	Kettering Town - Gloucester City	1:0
English FA Trophy
27.11.21	Gloucester City - Kettering Town	3:0
English National League North
30.08.21	Gloucester City - Kettering Town	0:2
06.10.20	Gloucester City - Kettering Town	3:1
07.03.20	Kettering Town - Gloucester City	1:1
30.11.19	Gloucester City - Kettering Town	2:2

Kettering Town - Gloucester City