Match Info

Date: 18 October 2020, Sunday


	Khimik-Arsenal Novomoskovsk		Saturn Ramenskoye

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.4	2.55
	2.4	3.4	2.5
	2.38	3.15	2.55
	2.45	3.3	2.65
	2.46	3.32	2.64
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 ↑ (2.4)	3.31 ↓ (3.4)	2.58 ↑ (2.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Khimik-Arsenal Novomoskovsk
37.5%

Draw
27.4%

Saturn Ramenskoye
35.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.6%

26.6%

35.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.2%

19.9%

47.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Khimik-Arsenal Novomoskovsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Saturn Ramenskoye has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Khimik-Arsenal Novomoskovsk than the current prediction. (-9.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Khimik-Arsenal Novomoskovsk that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Saturn Ramenskoye than the current prediction. (+12.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Saturn Ramenskoye could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Khimik Arsenal Novomoskovsk - Saturn Ramenskoye Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 7 and 2).

Recent matches Khimik-Arsenal is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Saturn in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Khimik-Arsenal could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Khimik-Arsenal won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Khimik-Arsenal won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Khimik-Arsenal Novomoskovsk
Russian FNL 2 Group 3
10.10.20	Ryazan - Khimik-Arsenal Novomoskovsk	3:1 ✺
27.09.20	Metallurg Lipetsk - Khimik-Arsenal Novomoskovsk	1:1 ✺
20.09.20	Khimik-Arsenal Novomoskovsk - Strogino Moskva	3:1 ✺
12.09.20	Salyut Belgorod - Khimik-Arsenal Novomoskovsk	0:0 ✺
06.09.20	Khimik-Arsenal Novomoskovsk - Krasnoye Znamya	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 LTWTW
- Saturn Ramenskoye
Russian FNL 2 Group 3
11.10.20	Saturn Ramenskoye - Kaluga	2:0 ✺
04.10.20	Ryazan - Saturn Ramenskoye	1:4 ✺
27.09.20	Saturn Ramenskoye - Avangard Kursk	5:0 ✺
12.09.20	Saturn Ramenskoye - Sokol Saratov	2:0 ✺
06.09.20	Metallurg Lipetsk - Saturn Ramenskoye	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.8 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Russian PFL Center
12.10.19	Saturn Ramenskoye - Khimik-Arsenal Novomoskovsk	2:2
13.04.19	Saturn Ramenskoye - Khimik-Arsenal Novomoskovsk	1:0
02.09.18	Khimik-Arsenal Novomoskovsk - Saturn Ramenskoye	2:1
03.05.18	Khimik-Arsenal Novomoskovsk - Saturn Ramenskoye	4:0
23.09.17	Saturn Ramenskoye - Khimik-Arsenal Novomoskovsk	4:1

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