Match Info

National League North - Round 32

Date: 10 February 2026, Tuesday

Location: Aggborough Stadium (Kidderminster)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DAZN
Bolivia	DAZN
Brazil	DAZN Brasil
Canada	DAZN Canada
Ecuador	DAZN
France	DAZN France
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Paraguay	DAZN
Portugal	DAZN / App
Spain	DAZN Espana
United-kingdom	DAZN
Uruguay	DAZN
Usa	DAZN USA
Venezuela	DAZN


	Kidderminster Harriers		Merthyr Town

	1	X	2
	1.5	4	5.5
	1.5	4.15	5.5
	1.5	4.32	5.91
	1.5	4.48	5.59	Watch
	1.5	4	5.5
	1.47	4.05	5.8
	1.48	4.2	5.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↓ (1.59)	4.17 ↑ (3.99)	5.64 ↑ (4.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kidderminster Harriers
61.6%

Draw
22.1%

Merthyr Town
16.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.8%

22.9%

19.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.3%

21.6%

18.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kidderminster Harriers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Merthyr Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kidderminster Harriers than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Merthyr Town than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	20%	20%

Kidderminster Harriers - Merthyr Town Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Kidderminster will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Merthyr will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Kidderminster has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Merthyr has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Kidderminster may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Kidderminster has had a series of away games.

In this match, Kidderminster is the team to beat.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Kidderminster won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Outrights of English National League North for now

Merthyr Town: 1.46%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Merthyr Town	10	3	4	3	12:11	1	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kidderminster Harriers
English National League North
03.02.26	Macclesfield Town - Kidderminster Harriers	5:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
31.01.26	Halifax Town - Kidderminster Harriers	1:2 penalties ✺
English National League North
27.01.26	Bedford Town - Kidderminster Harriers	0:0 ✺
24.01.26	Scarborough Athletic - Kidderminster Harriers	0:2 ✺
17.01.26	Kidderminster Harriers - Worksop Town	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 LWTWT
- Merthyr Town
English National League North
07.02.26	Merthyr Town - Chorley	2:3 ✺
31.01.26	Darlington - Merthyr Town	3:1 ✺
27.01.26	Merthyr Town - AFC Telford United	1:4 ✺
24.01.26	Southport - Merthyr Town	1:0 ✺
17.01.26	Merthyr Town - Peterborough Sports	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
21.10.25	Merthyr Town - Kidderminster Harriers	0:1

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