Match Info

National League North - Round 34

Date: 21 February 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Aggborough Stadium (Kidderminster) 🌤️ ...


	Kidderminster Harriers		Southport

	1	X	2
	1.6	3.4	5
	1.6	3.6	5.3
	1.57	3.78	5.59
	1.76	3.27	4.95	Watch
	1.65	3.3	5.5
	1.59	3.44	5.54
	1.57	3.75	5.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↑ (1.45)	3.51 ↓ (3.8)	5.32 ↓ (6.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kidderminster Harriers
56.6%

Draw
26.2%

Southport
17.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

62.5%

23.9%

13.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.8%

23.1%

13.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kidderminster Harriers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kidderminster Harriers's form might have worsened.

Southport has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kidderminster Harriers than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kidderminster Harriers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Southport than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

Kidderminster Harriers - Southport Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
20', 0 - 1, Moore T. ⚽,
33', 1 - 1, Cooper C. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 18).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kidderminster won 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Southport may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Kidderminster has had a series of away games.

In this match, Kidderminster is a strong favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kidderminster won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 33:24. (average 1.7:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Kidderminster won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 13:10. (average 1.4:1.1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
23	Southport	13	2	4	7	13:23	-10	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kidderminster Harriers
English National League North
10.02.26	Kidderminster Harriers - Merthyr Town	0:0 ✺
03.02.26	Macclesfield Town - Kidderminster Harriers	5:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
31.01.26	Halifax Town - Kidderminster Harriers	1:2 penalties ✺
English National League North
27.01.26	Bedford Town - Kidderminster Harriers	0:0 ✺
24.01.26	Scarborough Athletic - Kidderminster Harriers	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 TLWTW
- Southport
English National League North
17.02.26	Southport - Buxton	0:0 ✺
14.02.26	Southport - Hereford	5:1 ✺
10.02.26	Chorley - Southport	4:2 ✺
07.02.26	Southport - Darlington	2:2 ✺
03.02.26	King`s Lynn Town - Southport	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 TWLTL

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
22.11.25	Southport - Kidderminster Harriers	2:2
26.04.25	Southport - Kidderminster Harriers	2:1
21.12.24	Kidderminster Harriers - Southport	2:0
22.04.23	Southport - Kidderminster Harriers	1:3
22.10.22	Kidderminster Harriers - Southport	0:2
09.04.22	Kidderminster Harriers - Southport	6:0
28.08.21	Southport - Kidderminster Harriers	1:1

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