Match Info

National League North - Round 12

Date: 18 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Deva Stadium (Chester)


	Chester		Kidderminster Harriers

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.25	2.9
	2.28	3.2	2.98
	2.31	3.2	3.21
	7.56	3.53	1.52	Watch
	2.34	3.16	2.97
	2.22	3.2	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.15 ↑ (2.21)	3.26 ↓ (3.28)	2.77 ↓ (3.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chester
32.2%

Draw
31.2%

Kidderminster Harriers
36.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.6%

28.1%

30.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.3%

27%

29.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chester has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Chester's form might have worsened.

Kidderminster Harriers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kidderminster Harriers's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chester than the current prediction. (+11.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Chester, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kidderminster Harriers than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kidderminster Harriers, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Chester - Kidderminster Harriers Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Kidderminster (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
22', 0 - 1, Reynolds R. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
73', 1 - 1, Mottley-Henry D. ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 17 and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chester won 3.

Chester is showing really good form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Kidderminster's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Chester may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Chester won 8 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 27:24. (average 1.5:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Chester won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:5. (average 1.7:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chester City
English FA Cup
14.10.25	Chester - Morecambe	2:0 ✺
11.10.25	Morecambe - Chester	1:1 ✺
English National League North
04.10.25	Chester - Merthyr Town	2:2 ✺
English FA Cup
27.09.25	Chester - Curzon Ashton	5:1 ✺
English National League North
20.09.25	Darlington - Chester	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WTTWT
- Kidderminster Harriers
English National League North
11.10.25	Kidderminster Harriers - Radcliffe	1:5 ✺
04.10.25	Peterborough Sports - Kidderminster Harriers	2:1 ✺
20.09.25	Kidderminster Harriers - Buxton	2:2 ✺
English FA Cup
13.09.25	AFC Telford United - Kidderminster Harriers	3:1 ✺
English National League North
06.09.25	Kidderminster Harriers - Macclesfield Town	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLTLT

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
04.05.25	Kidderminster Harriers - Chester	1:2
11.02.25	Chester - Kidderminster Harriers	1:1
03.09.24	Kidderminster Harriers - Chester	1:1
07.03.23	Chester - Kidderminster Harriers	2:0
07.12.22	Kidderminster Harriers - Chester	0:2
15.04.22	Chester - Kidderminster Harriers	2:2
30.08.21	Kidderminster Harriers - Chester	3:1

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