Match Info

National League North - Round 13

Date: 21 October 2025, Tuesday


	Merthyr Town		Kidderminster Harriers

	1	X	2
	3.8	3.6	1.75
	3.8	3.65	1.8
	3.65	3.57	1.9
	3.38	3.47	2.03	Watch
	3.84	3.66	1.83
	3.25	3.5	1.93
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.62 ↑ (3.38)	3.58 ↑ (3.47)	1.87 ↓ (2.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Merthyr Town
25.3%

Draw
25.7%

Kidderminster Harriers
49%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.5%

26.8%

45.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.7%

23.2%

39.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Merthyr Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Kidderminster Harriers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Merthyr Town than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Merthyr Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kidderminster Harriers than the current prediction. (-9.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kidderminster Harriers, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Merthyr Town - Kidderminster Harriers Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Kidderminster (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
79', 0 - 1, Morgan-Smith A. (Pen),

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 10 and 8)

The current form of both teams is below expectations.

Merthyr may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Kidderminster could have a small edge in this match.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Kidderminster Harriers - the odds 2.03 are the expected chance of winning is 45.75%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Merthyr Town
English National League North
18.10.25	Spennymoor Town - Merthyr Town	6:4 ✺
04.10.25	Chester - Merthyr Town	2:2 ✺
English FA Cup
27.09.25	Merthyr Town - Hampton & Richmond Borough	0:1 ✺
English National League North
20.09.25	Merthyr Town - Radcliffe	0:5 ✺
06.09.25	Merthyr Town - Worksop Town	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LTLLW
- Kidderminster Harriers
English National League North
18.10.25	Chester - Kidderminster Harriers	1:1 ✺
11.10.25	Kidderminster Harriers - Radcliffe	1:5 ✺
04.10.25	Peterborough Sports - Kidderminster Harriers	2:1 ✺
20.09.25	Kidderminster Harriers - Buxton	2:2 ✺
English FA Cup
13.09.25	AFC Telford United - Kidderminster Harriers	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 TLLTL

Upcoming Matches