Match Info

National League North - Round 15

Date: 1 November 2025, Saturday


	Alfreton Town		Kidderminster Harriers

	1	X	2
	4.75	3.7	1.62
	4.75	3.65	1.65
	3.53	3.59	1.94	Watch
	4.52	3.54	1.68
	4.6	3.35	1.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.43 ↑ (3.53)	3.57 ↓ (3.59)	1.72 ↓ (1.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alfreton Town
20.8%

Draw
25.8%

Kidderminster Harriers
53.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.3%

25.9%

47.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.7%

25.3%

49%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alfreton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alfreton Town's form might have worsened.

Kidderminster Harriers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kidderminster Harriers's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alfreton Town than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kidderminster Harriers than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

Alfreton Town - Kidderminster Harriers Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
45+4', 0 - 1, Sho-Silva T. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+7', 1 - 1, Ligendza S. ⚽,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alfreton won 1.

Recent form of Alfreton has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Kidderminster has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Kidderminster is seen as the favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Alfreton won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 22:32. (average 1.1:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Alfreton won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:17. (average 1.4:1.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alfreton Town
English National League North
25.10.25	Buxton - Alfreton Town	6:0 ✺
21.10.25	Alfreton Town - Chester	0:2 ✺
18.10.25	Peterborough Sports - Alfreton Town	1:1 ✺
04.10.25	Radcliffe - Alfreton Town	3:1 ✺
20.09.25	Alfreton Town - AFC Telford United	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLTLW
- Kidderminster Harriers
English National League North
25.10.25	Kidderminster Harriers - Spennymoor Town	1:0 ✺
21.10.25	Merthyr Town - Kidderminster Harriers	0:1 ✺
18.10.25	Chester - Kidderminster Harriers	1:1 ✺
11.10.25	Kidderminster Harriers - Radcliffe	1:5 ✺
04.10.25	Peterborough Sports - Kidderminster Harriers	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WWTLL

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
15.02.25	Alfreton Town - Kidderminster Harriers	0:2
21.09.24	Kidderminster Harriers - Alfreton Town	0:1
02.05.23	Alfreton Town - Kidderminster Harriers	0:1
25.03.23	Kidderminster Harriers - Alfreton Town	0:0
02.12.22	Alfreton Town - Kidderminster Harriers	1:1
05.04.22	Kidderminster Harriers - Alfreton Town	0:1
20.11.21	Alfreton Town - Kidderminster Harriers	1:4

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