Match Info

Premiership - Round 16

Date: 6 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Rugby Park (Kilmarnock)

Referee: Clancy K. (Sco)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Kilmarnock		Glasgow Rangers

	1	X	2
	4.33	3.9	1.68	Watch
	4.7	3.95	1.68	Watch
	4.63	4.09	1.76
	4.6	4.16	1.68	Watch
	4.4	3.8	1.7
	4.67	3.99	1.74	Watch
	4.5	4	1.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.55 ↓ (6.25)	3.98 ↓ (4.2)	1.7 ↑ (1.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kilmarnock
20.8%

Draw
23.7%

Glasgow Rangers
55.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.5%

21.6%

63.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.1%

21%

65.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kilmarnock has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kilmarnock's performance.

Glasgow Rangers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Glasgow Rangers might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kilmarnock than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kilmarnock that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Glasgow Rangers than the current prediction. (+10.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Glasgow Rangers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.1%	45.5%	45.5%

Kilmarnock - Glasgow Rangers Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Kilmarnock will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Rangers will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 45.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rangers: 16.1% – 74.9%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.75 - Rangers (1.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Rangers (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
20. Oluwayemi T. (G) 15. Brown J. 5. Mayo L. 6. Deas R. (C) 3. Thompson D. 31. Polworth L. 11. Kiltie G. 12. Watson D. 19. Anderson B. 17. Tiffoney S. 9. Dackers M.	1. Butland J. (C) 3. Aarons M. 24. Djiga N. 37. Fernandez E. 30. Meghoma J. 43. Raskin N. 8. Barron C. 23. Gassama D. 10. Diomande M. 14. Bajrami N. 28. Miovski B.
Substitutes
30. Beach E. (G) 26. Brannan B. 42. Coughlin C. 32. Ellis R. 24. John-Jules T. 18. Lowery T. 25. Schilte-Brown E. 14. Stanger G. 4. Williams Z.	11. Aasgaard T. 16. Cameron L. 9. Chermiti 52. Curtis F. 99. Danilo Pereira 31. Kelly L. (G) 47. Moore M. 19. Nsiala C. 2. Tavernier J.
Coaches
Kettlewell S.	Rohl D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
21', Bajrami N. ↓, Curtis F. ↑,
33', 0 - 1, Miovski B. ⚽, Diomande M. (A),
45+2', Djiga N. 🟨,
45+2', Miovski B. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
48', Watson D. 🟨,
54', 0 - 2, Miovski B. ⚽, Raskin N. (A),
66', Kiltie G. ↓, Lowery T. ↑,
66', Dackers M. ↓, John-Jules T. ↑,
68', Diomande M. ↓, Danilo Pereira ↑,
76', Gassama D. ↓, Tavernier J. ↑,
76', Curtis F. ↓, Moore M. ↑,
76', Miovski B. ↓, Chermiti ↑,
81', 0 - 3, Moore M. ⚽, Meghoma J. (A),
82', Brown J. ↓, Brannan B. ↑,
83', Thompson D. 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 9 in the zone Premiership (Relegation Group: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Premiership (Championship Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kilmarnock won 1.

Recent form of Kilmarnock has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Rangers is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Kilmarnock may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Rangers is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Kilmarnock: Brandon J. (Injury) Daniels D. (Injury) Kennedy M. (Hip Injury) Magennis K. (Inactive) Stryjek M. (Inactive)

There will not play in Rangers: Antman O. (Muscle Injury) Cornelius D. (Muscle Injury) Souttar J. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Rangers: Dowell K. (Injury) Matondo R. (Knee Injury) Moore M. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kilmarnock won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 15 matches, and goals 17:45. (average 0.9:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Kilmarnock won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:14. (average 1.3:1.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kilmarnock FC
Scottish Premier League
03.12.25	Hearts - Kilmarnock	1:1 ✺
29.11.25	Kilmarnock - Dundee United	1:1 ✺
22.11.25	Kilmarnock - Motherwell	1:3 ✺
09.11.25	Celtic - Kilmarnock	4:0 ✺
01.11.25	Falkirk - Kilmarnock	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 TTLLL
- Glasgow Rangers
Scottish Premier League
03.12.25	Dundee United - Glasgow Rangers	2:2 ✺
30.11.25	Glasgow Rangers - Falkirk	0:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
27.11.25	Glasgow Rangers - Braga	1:1 ✺
Scottish Premier League
22.11.25	Glasgow Rangers - Livingston	2:1 ✺
09.11.25	Dundee - Glasgow Rangers	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 TTTWW

Latest Head to Head

Scottish Premier League
26.10.25	Glasgow Rangers - Kilmarnock	3:1
26.02.25	Kilmarnock - Glasgow Rangers	2:4
04.12.24	Glasgow Rangers - Kilmarnock	6:0
20.10.24	Kilmarnock - Glasgow Rangers	1:0
05.05.24	Glasgow Rangers - Kilmarnock	4:1
28.02.24	Kilmarnock - Glasgow Rangers	1:2
02.01.24	Glasgow Rangers - Kilmarnock	3:1

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