Match Info

NORWAY: NM Cup - 1/32-finals

Date: 24 April 2024, Wednesday

Location: Grefsen Stadion (Oslo)


	Kjelsås		Kongsvinger

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.75	3
	1.9	3.6	3.1
	1.95	3.6	3.25
	2	3.65	3.2
	2.01	3.65	3.2
	1.83	3.8	3.3
	2.03	3.72	3.3
	1.94	3.75	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↓ (2.88)	3.69 ↑ (3.65)	3.2 ↑ (2.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kjelsås
46.8%

Draw
24.7%

Kongsvinger
28.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.9%

25.2%

42.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.8%

24.3%

44.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kjelsås has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kjelsås's performance.

Kongsvinger has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kongsvinger might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kjelsås than the current prediction. (-16%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kjelsås that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kongsvinger than the current prediction. (+15.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kongsvinger could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
52.6%	0%	47.4%

Kjelsås - Kongsvinger Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Kjelsås will win (votes: 10 - 52.6%). Kongsvinger will win (votes: 9 - 47.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kjelsås: 30.1% – 75.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
12', 0 - 1, Eriksen M. ⚽, Sandstad A. (A),
35', 0 - 2, Christiansen R. ⚽, Eriksen M. (A),
41', 1 - 2, Aslaksrud J. ⚽, Ali Alzubi M. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
61', 2 - 2, Askengren P. ⚽,
90', 3 - 2, Eriksen K. ⚽, Olafsen S. (A),

Preview

Now both teams are in good shape.

Recently Kjelsås have a series of guest games.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Kjelsås won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kjelsås
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 2
19.04.24	Skeid - Kjelsås	1:0 ✺
14.04.24	Kjelsås - Gjøvik-Lyn	3:1 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
10.04.24	Nordstrand - Kjelsås	0:1 ✺
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 2
07.04.24	Alta - Kjelsås	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
28.03.24	Skeid - Kjelsås	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 LWWTW
- Kongsvinger IL Toppfotball
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
20.04.24	Levanger - Kongsvinger	1:2 ✺
15.04.24	Kongsvinger - Egersund	3:3 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
10.04.24	Nybergsund - Kongsvinger	0:8 ✺
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
07.04.24	Lyn - Kongsvinger	1:1 ✺
01.04.24	Kongsvinger - Ranheim	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
13.06.21	Kongsvinger - Kjelsås	4:2

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