Match Info

Persha Liga - Relegation - Final

Date: 4 June 2025, Wednesday

Location: Kolos Stadium (Kovalivka)


	Kolos Kovalivka 2		Podillya Khmelnytskyi

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.55	2.24
	2.86	3.55	2.19	Watch
	2.88	3.3	2.23
	2.7	3.55	2.24
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.79 ↓ (2.88)	3.49 ↑ (3.3)	2.23 (2.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kolos Kovalivka 2
32.8%

Draw
26.2%

Podillya Khmelnytskyi
41%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.6%

27.6%

40.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.5%

27.7%

40.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kolos Kovalivka 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Podillya Khmelnytskyi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kolos Kovalivka 2 than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Podillya Khmelnytskyi than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Mikhieiev D. (G) 24. Bryzhenko A. 14. Dymnych D. 23. Golovkin I. 13. Kanaiev V. 20. Kharzhevskyi P. 25. Nedolya A. 21. Rublev B. 7. Shevchuk S. (C) 3. Sokol B. 54. Terekhov A.	1. Yurchuk V. (G) 18. Azizov D. 39. Balan D. 9. Gemega V. 4. Koreshkov V. 8. Panchyshyn O. 35. Savin A. 23. Shavrin V. (C) 19. Shkinder V. 77. Snizhko O. 33. Veremiyenko O.
Substitutes
4. Basov S. 9. Berezka D. 10. Khrul D. 22. Kolesnyk D. 99. Krokhmal V. 5. Lyaschuk I. 11. Lyubko V. 2. Nakonechnyi I. 28. Pohorilyy S. (G) 15. Sklyarenko I. 33. Starhorodskyi M. 17. Volkov O.	17. Chushenko V. 12. Fastov D. (G) 7. Kvasov Y. 5. Lys N. 99. Medin M. (G) 20. Orobets I. 13. Profatilo Y. 2. Savchuk P. 27. Shvets V. 16. Vilkhovyi A. 22. Zayets S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
4', Koreshkov V. 🟨,
19', 0 - 1, Balan D. ⚽,
45+1', Balan D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Rublev B. ↓, Kolesnyk D. ↑,
49', 0 - 2, Shkinder V. ⚽,
55', Dymnych D. ↓, Lubko V. ↑,
60', Kolesnyk D. 🟨,
61', Sokol B. 🟨,
67', Gemega V. ↓, Zayets S. ↑,
74', Panchyshyn O. 🟨,
78', Savin A. ↓, Orobets I. ↑,
83', Panchyshyn O. ↓, Lys N. ↑,
83', Shavrin V. ↓, Kvasov Y. ↑,
87', Golovkin I. ↓, Khrul D. ↑,

Preview

1st leg.

Kolos 2 is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Podillya has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Podillya could have a small edge in this match.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kolos Kovalivka 2
Ukrainian Druha Liga
30.05.25	Probiy Horodenka - Kolos Kovalivka 2	3:3 penalties ✺
23.05.25	Kolos Kovalivka 2 - Probiy Horodenka	0:1 ✺
11.05.25	Kolos Kovalivka 2 - Metalist 1925 2	5:2 ✺
05.05.25	Kolos Kovalivka 2 - Oleksandriya 2	1:1 ✺
24.04.25	Vorskla 2 - Kolos Kovalivka 2	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WLWTW
- Podillya Khmelnytskyi
Ukrainian Persha Liga
30.05.25	Podillya Khmelnytskyi - Dinaz Vyshgorod	0:0 ✺
23.05.25	Kremin Kremenchuk - Podillya Khmelnytskyi	0:2 ✺
17.05.25	Podillya Khmelnytskyi - Feniks-Mariupol	1:2 ✺
10.05.25	Viktoriya Sumy - Podillya Khmelnytskyi	0:1 ✺
02.05.25	Podillya Khmelnytskyi - Metalurh Zaporizhya	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 TWLWL

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