The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Koninklijke HFC 23.9%
Draw 21.7%
Spakenburg 54.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
28.8%
24%
47.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
27.4%
22.8%
49.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Koninklijke HFC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)
Spakenburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Spakenburg's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Koninklijke HFC than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spakenburg than the current prediction. (-4.9%)
Koninklijke HFC - Spakenburg Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Michaelis M. (C) 27. Girault C. 3. Heeremans R. 88. Jansen Q. 2. Ploem M. 7. Klomp F. 6. Tros K. 21. Bijen T. 4. Vlak G. 17. de Wilde L. 11. Muns B.
23. van Dorp K. (G) 16. Kok O. 15. van Lopik H. 81. Linthorst T. 5. Green D. 8. van Huffel S. 44. Guiting J. 10. Kunst D. 7. El Azzouti A. 9. van der Linden F. (C) 11. Junte R.
Substitutes
8. Lahri O. 16. Muller J. 24. Mussche S. 22. Ramdjanamsingh D. 19. Ras T. 12. van der Sar J. (G) 64. van der Weijden J.
3. Apau M. 4. Claver C. 25. den Haan J. 13. Houweling J. (G) 27. Puriel J. 20. Quaedvlieg F. 22. van Mil K.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
1', Guiting J. 🟨,
26', 0 - 1, El Azzouti A. ⚽, Junte R. (A),
2nd Half (3 - 1)
48', 1 - 1, Bijen T. ⚽, Tros K. (A),
49', 2 - 1, Girault C. ⚽, Klomp F. (A),
58', 2 - 2, Kunst D. ⚽, Junte R. (A),
59', 3 - 2, Muns B. ⚽, Bijen T. (A),
62', Klomp F. ↓, Ramdjanamsingh D. ↑,
63', Tros K. ↓, Lahri O. ↑,
63', Kunst D. ↓, Claver C. ↑,
63', Linthorst T. ↓, Apau M. ↑,
63', van der Linden F. ↓, van Mil K. ↑,
63', Junte R. ↓, Puriel J. ↑,
70', Kok O. ↓, den Haan J. ↑,
76', Jansen Q. ↓, Mussche S. ↑,
76', Vlak G. ↓, Muller J. ↑,
90', Michaelis M. ↓, van der Sar J. ↑,
Preview
This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 15 and 4).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, HFC won 1.
HFC is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Spakenburg is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
In this match, Spakenburg is seen as the favorite.
We predict that Spakenburg will win today's game, with odds of 1.66.
In the last 15 head-to-head matches, HFC won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 23:21. (average 1.5:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, HFC won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:9. (average 2:1.1).
Watch
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Michaelis M. (C) 
Green D. 
Puriel J. 
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