Match Info

Jupiler Pro League - Round 6

Date: 11 September 2026, Friday

Location: Achter de Kazerne (Mechelen)

Referee: Lambrechts E. (Bel)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DAZN
Austria	DAZN
Belgium	DAZN Pro League 1, Sporza, Sporza
Bolivia	DAZN
Brazil	DAZN Brasil
Canada	DAZN Canada
Ecuador	DAZN
France	DAZN France
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Japan	DAZN Japan
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Paraguay	DAZN
Portugal	DAZN / App
Spain	DAZN Espana
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	DAZN
United-kingdom	DAZN
Uruguay	DAZN
Usa	DAZN USA, SportsEngine Play
Venezuela	DAZN


	KV Mechelen		Anderlecht

	1	X	2
	3.90	3.70	1.75	Watch
	4.20	3.90	1.78
	4.30	3.65	1.76	Watch
	4.47	3.80	1.85
	4.18	3.85	1.81	Watch
	4.40	3.75	1.80
	4.40	3.73	1.81	Watch
	4.00	3.75	1.81
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.23 ↑ (3.59)	3.77 ↑ (3.6)	1.8 ↓ (1.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

KV Mechelen
22.3%

Draw
25.1%

Anderlecht
52.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.2%

26%

47.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.6%

25.4%

49%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

KV Mechelen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Anderlecht has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for KV Mechelen than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Anderlecht than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
6.2%	6.2%	87.5%

KV Mechelen - Anderlecht Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Anderlecht (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Mechelen (1.95) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (2.24) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (1.66) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.75 - Mechelen (1.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

New Consensus by Tipsters:

1X2 - Anderlecht (1.85) (votes: 84%) ⭐ Best Value.

Users Predictions: Anderlecht will win (14 of 16 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.29% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Mechelen (votes: 2 - 40%). Anderlecht (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Miras N. (G) 2. Marijnissen L. 44. Eerdhuijzen M. 3. Marsa J. 23. Michez S. 6. Hammar F. (C) 26. Praet D. 7. Koudou T. 30. Decherf M. 28. Boersma B. 9. van Brederode M.	26. Coosemans C. (C) 79. Maamar A. 4. Biancone G. 27. Petrot L. 6. Augustinsson L. 10. Winkler M. 30. Koutsoupias I. 55. Kana M. 11. Antman O. 21. Bentayeb T. 14. Sikan D.
Substitutes
29. Antonio B. 11. Bafdili B. 20. Corbanie K. 39. Decoene M. 1. De Wolf O. (G) 10. Kireev M. 19. Lohunanu-Mbasi M. 21. Ozdemir H. 14. Raman B. 17. Van Meirvenne C.	19. Aasgaard T. 8. Amane R. 9. Cvetkovic M. 83. Degreef T. 32. Heekeren J. (G) 24. Llansana E. 61. Nga Kana J. 53. Ojea N. 12. Omobamidele A.
Coaches
Vanderbiest F.	Bruno V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
5', Biancone G. 🟨,
37', Biancone G. ↓, Omobamidele A. ↑,
40', Omobamidele A. 🟨,
43', 0 - 1, Bentayeb T. ⚽, Koutsoupias I. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
60', Koutsoupias I. 🟨,
72', Antman O. ↓, Aasgaard T. ↑,
72', Sikan D. ↓, Degreef T. ↑,
72', Koutsoupias I. ↓, Amane R. ↑,
74', Decherf M. ↓, Raman B. ↑,
75', Michez S. ↓, Antonio B. ↑,
80', Hammar F. 🟨,
81', Eerdhuijzen M. ↓, Van Meirvenne C. ↑,
82', Boersma B. ↓, Lohunanu-Mbasi M. ↑,
82', Petrot L. 🟨,
88', Praet D. ↓, Bafdili B. ↑,
90+3', Vanderbiest F. 🟨,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mechelen won 1.

Mechelen is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Anderlecht is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Anderlecht may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Anderlecht is the team to beat.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Mechelen won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 29:45. (average 1.5:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Mechelen won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 16:19. (average 1.6:1.9).

Outrights of Belgian Jupiler Pro League for now

Anderlecht: 4.86% KV Mechelen: 0.5%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Anderlecht	8	5	1	2	9:6	3	16
18	KV Mechelen	7	0	3	4	5:14	-9	3

Last Results with these Odds

Anderlecht - the odds 1.96 are the expected chance of winning is 47.8%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KV Mechelen
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
05.09.26	KV Mechelen - Westerlo	0:4 ✺
29.08.26	RAAL La Louvière - KV Mechelen	2:2 ✺
22.08.26	Charleroi - KV Mechelen	2:0 ✺
16.08.26	KV Mechelen - Standard Liège	3:3 ✺
09.08.26	Gent - KV Mechelen	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LTLTL
- Anderlecht
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
06.09.26	Anderlecht - Genk	0:0 ✺
03.09.26	Anderlecht - Kortrijk	1:0 ✺
30.08.26	Saint-Gilloise - Anderlecht	3:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
27.08.26	Anderlecht - Kairat	3:0 ✺
20.08.26	Kairat - Anderlecht	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 TWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Belgian Jupiler Pro League
17.05.26	Anderlecht - KV Mechelen	2:2
18.04.26	KV Mechelen - Anderlecht	1:2
15.03.26	KV Mechelen - Anderlecht	1:0
01.11.25	Anderlecht - KV Mechelen	3:1
26.01.25	Anderlecht - KV Mechelen	4:1
17.08.24	KV Mechelen - Anderlecht	1:3
01.02.24	KV Mechelen - Anderlecht	2:2

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