Match Info

POLAND: Division 1 - Round 18

Date: 30 November 2024, Saturday

Location: Municipal Stadium Sebastiana Karpiniuka (Kolobrzeg)

Referee: Rasmus S. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app


	Kotwica Kołobrzeg		Wisła Płock

	1	X	2
	7.5	4.75	1.33
	7.5	4.8	1.34
	8	5	1.35	Watch
	8.02	5.15	1.35
	8.01	4.86	1.36	Watch
	8	4.75	1.3
	8.1	4.95	1.32	Watch
	8	5	1.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.89 ↑ (4.42)	4.91 ↑ (3.69)	1.34 ↓ (1.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kotwica Kołobrzeg
11.8%

Draw
18.9%

Wisła Płock
69.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21%

25.2%

53.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.7%

23.3%

49.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kotwica Kołobrzeg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kotwica Kołobrzeg's form might have worsened.

Wisła Płock has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Wisła Płock's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kotwica Kołobrzeg than the current prediction. (+10.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kotwica Kołobrzeg, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wisła Płock than the current prediction. (-19.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Wisła Płock, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	10%	90%

Kotwica Kołobrzeg - Wisła Płock Predictions

Users Predictions: Wisła Płock will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
88. Koziol M. (G) 7. Kosakiewicz L. 66. Witasik P. 27. Welna T. 22. Kostevych V. 8. Lucas Ramos 29. Bykowski M. 10. Cywinski M. 24. Oliveira F. 32. Rajsel N. 57. Segbe Azankpo D.	33. Gostomski M. (G) 5. Nastic B. 44. Haglind-Sangre M. 19. Edmundsson A. 14. Kun D. 18. Jimenez J. 6. Pomorski K. 8. Pacheco D. 3. Kukulka K. 9. Kocyla D. 20. Sekulski L. (C)
Substitutes
77. Bieganski A. 6. Kort K. 9. Kozlowski F. 70. Krekovic L. 1. Krzepisz K. (G) 19. Lasek M. 11. Madembo T. 83. Trojnarski A. 17. Zietek L.	27. Borowski B. 11. Famulak M. 16. Hiszpanski F. 26. Klon O. (G) 22. Krawczyk P. 91. Kuchko G. 17. Misiak P. 77. Szymanski J. 37. Tomczyk O.
Coaches
Tarasiewicz R.	Misiura M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
41', 1 - 0, Kostevych V. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
47', 2 - 0, Segbe Azankpo D. ⚽,
54', Kostevych V. 🟨,
63', Haglind-Sangre M. ↓, Hiszpanski F. ↑,
63', Kocyla D. ↓, Krawczyk P. ↑,
63', Pomorski K. ↓, Misiak P. ↑,
68', Sekulski L. 🟨,
72', Kostevych V. ↓, Madembo T. ↑,
74', Kun D. ↓, Famulak M. ↑,
75', Jimenez J. 🟨,
78', Kosakiewicz L. 🟨,
81', Kukulka K. ↓, Borowski B. ↑,
82', Bykowski M. ↓, Zietek L. ↑,
82', Segbe Azankpo D. ↓, Kozlowski F. ↑,
85', Pacheco D. 🟨,
88', Cywinski M. 🟨,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Kotwica Kołobrzeg
Polish Division 1
22.11.24	Kotwica Kołobrzeg - Termalica Nieciecza	0:5 ✺
08.11.24	Pogoń Siedlce - Kotwica Kołobrzeg	2:1 ✺
02.11.24	Kotwica Kołobrzeg - Odra Opole	0:1 ✺
Polish Cup
29.10.24	Kotwica Kołobrzeg - Puszcza Niepołomice	0:1 ✺
Polish Division 1
25.10.24	Chrobry Głogów - Kotwica Kołobrzeg	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Wisła Płock
Polish Division 1
25.11.24	Miedź Legnica - Wisła Płock	2:2 ✺
10.11.24	Wisła Płock - Górnik Łęczna	2:2 ✺
02.11.24	Arka Gdynia - Wisła Płock	2:0 ✺
27.10.24	Wisła Płock - Wisła Kraków	1:3 ✺
19.10.24	Znicz Pruszków - Wisła Płock	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 TTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 1
21.07.24	Wisła Płock - Kotwica Kołobrzeg	1:1

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