Match Info

Date: 18 February 2021, Thursday


	Krasnodar		Dinamo Zagreb

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.25	3.3
	2.3	3.25	3.3
	2.3	3.25	3.35
	2.26	3.1	3.25
	2.32	3.24	3.41
	2.2	3.2	3.4
	2.41	3.26	3.56
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↑ (2.19)	3.22 ↓ (3.3)	3.37 ↓ (3.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 0.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Krasnodar
41.8%

Draw
29.7%

Dinamo Zagreb
28.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.5%

28.8%

27.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.7%

19.6%

40.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Krasnodar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Dinamo Zagreb has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Krasnodar than the current prediction. (-12.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Krasnodar that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dinamo Zagreb than the current prediction. (+12.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dinamo Zagreb could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
45.5%	24.8%	29.7%

Krasnodar - Dinamo Zagreb Predictions

Users Predictions: 101 users predict this event. Krasnodar will win (votes: 46 - 45.5%). Dinamo Zagreb will win (votes: 30 - 29.7%). It will Tie (votes: 25 - 24.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Krasnodar: 35.8% – 55.2%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

1st leg. No spectators.

Krasnodar was already of round of 32, has a chance of round of 16 (49%), has a chance of qtrs (18%), has a small chance of semis (7%), has a very small chance of final (2%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Dinamo Zagreb was already of round of 32, has a good chance of round of 16 (51%), has a chance of qtrs (20%), has a small chance of semis (8%), has a very small chance of final (3%), has a very small chance of win league (1%).

Recent matches Krasnodar is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Dinamo Zagreb is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Dinamo Zagreb could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Krasnodar have a series of guest games.

Recently Dinamo Zagreb have a series of home games.

Krasnodar will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Krasnodar
Club Friendly
11.02.21	Lokomotivi Tbilisi - Krasnodar	2:3 ✺
11.02.21	Lokomotiv Moscow - Krasnodar	4:0 ✺
05.02.21	Orenburg - Krasnodar	2:1
04.02.21	Rostov - Krasnodar	0:2 ✺
04.02.21	Lokomotiv Moscow - Krasnodar	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WLLWT
- Dinamo Zagreb
Croatian HNL
13.02.21	Dinamo Zagreb - Osijek	1:0 ✺
07.02.21	Istra 1961 - Dinamo Zagreb	0:1 ✺
02.02.21	Dinamo Zagreb - Lokomotiva Zagreb	2:0 ✺
30.01.21	Dinamo Zagreb - Šibenik	1:2 ✺
27.01.21	Dinamo Zagreb - Hajduk Split	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WWWLW

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