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Current Win Probability
Lokomotiv Moscow 29.9%
Draw 28.2%
Krasnodar 41.9%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
25%
26.8%
48.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
24.7%
26.5%
48.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lokomotiv Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)
Krasnodar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Krasnodar might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lokomotiv Moscow than the current prediction. (-5.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lokomotiv Moscow that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Krasnodar than the current prediction. (+6.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Krasnodar could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
100%
Lokomotiv Moscow - Krasnodar Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Krasnodar will win (votes: 3 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Mitryushkin A. (C) 24. Nenakhov M. 5. Nyamsi G. 23. Montes C. 45. Silyanov A. 18. Titkov N. 6. Babkin S. 7. Bakaev Z. 9. Pinyaev S. 77. Mostovoy A. 27. Komlichenko N.
1. Agkatsev S. (G) 40. Vakhania I. 5. Jubal Junior 2. Rodriguez M. 15. Olaza L. 6. Lenini K. 53. Chernikov A. 18. Christian 47. Utkin D. 11. Joao Batxi 9. Cordoba J. (C)
Substitutes
14. Dzhikiya G. 75. Eremeev I. 47. Godyaev D. 8. Kovalenko A. 22. Lantratov I. (G) 3. Lucas Fasson 85. Morozov E. 99. Myalkovskiy R. 59. Pogostnov E. 11. Rakov V. 19. Rudenko A. 88. Shchetinin M.
23. Boselli J. 27. Burkin E. 16. Koryakin A. (G) 21. Ozdoev M. 17. Paltsev V. 98. Petrov S. 10. Vorobyev D.
Coaches
Galaktionov M.
Musaev M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
2', Montes C. 🟨,
5', 0 - 1, Joao Batxi ⚽, Cordoba J. (A),
12', Nyamsi G. 🟨,
16', 1 - 1, Titkov N. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
58', Pinyaev S. ↓, Rudenko A. ↑,
61', Utkin D. ↓, Ozdoev M. ↑,
70', Bakaev Z. ↓, Kovalenko A. ↑,
70', Titkov N. ↓, Eremeev I. ↑,
71', 2 - 1, Rudenko A. ⚽, Nenakhov M. (A),
73', Vakhania I. ↓, Paltsev V. ↑,
73', Christian ↓, Boselli J. ↑,
77', Nenakhov M. 🟨,
77', Lenini K. ↓, Vorobyev D. ↑,
78', 3 - 1, Kovalenko A. ⚽,
86', 3 - 2, Olaza L. ⚽, Joao Batxi (A),
88', Mostovoy A. ↓, Godyaev D. ↑,
90+1', 3 - 3, Cordoba J. ⚽, Joao Batxi (A),
90+4', Joao Batxi 🟨,
Preview
A lower-table team faces a stern test hosting a top-ranking contender (ranked 13th in the Premier League (Relegation) and 4th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lokomotiv won 1.
Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Krasnodar holding a narrow advantage.
Confirmed absences for Krasnodar: Krivtsov N.
(Muscle Injury)
Tormena V.
(Red Card).
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Lokomotiv has recorded 7 wins, 7 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 22:26 (averaging 1.1:1.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Lokomotiv against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 4 draws, and 1 loss, with 18:12 goals (averaging 1.6:1.1 per game).
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Mitryushkin A. (C) 
Nyamsi G. 
Montes C. 
Jubal Junior 
Rodriguez M. 
Lenini K. 
Joao Batxi 
Cordoba J. (C) 
Myalkovskiy R. 
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