Match Info

Premier League - Round 8

Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Gazprom Arena (Saint Petersburg)

Referee: Novikov N. (Rus)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	Q Football Asia, Q Sport Asia
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 5P
Brazil	BandSports
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Russia	Match! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Sport 3


	Zenit		Lokomotiv Moscow

	1	X	2
	1.39	5.03	8.52
	1.37	4.90	8.40
	1.38	5.15	7.92	Watch
	1.36	4.70	6.80
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↑ (1.36)	4.95 ↑ (4.6)	7.91 ↑ (7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zenit
68.9%

Draw
19.2%

Lokomotiv Moscow
12%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.1%

19.8%

13%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.9%

18.7%

12.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zenit has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Lokomotiv Moscow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zenit than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lokomotiv Moscow than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	33.3%	0%

Zenit - Lokomotiv Moscow Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Zenit will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Adamov D. (G) 25. Andrade K. 78. Diveev I. 28. Alip N. 66. Vega R. 5. Barrios W. (C) 93. Karpukas A. 11. Luiz Henrique 10. Glushenkov M. 14. Jhon Jhon 7. Sobolev A.	1. Mitryushkin A. (C) 24. Nenakhov M. 85. Morozov E. 45. Silyanov A. 3. Lucas Fasson 6. Babkin S. 75. Eremeev I. 7. Bakaev Z. 18. Titkov N. 19. Rudenko A. 27. Komlichenko N.
Substitutes
3. Douglas Santos 21. Erokhin A. 9. Felipe Augusto 15. Karavaev V. 61. Kondakov D. 57. Moskvichev B. (G) 38. Musaev A. 33. Nino 71. Odoevskiy D. (G) 20. Pedrinho 82. Volkov S.	60. Belotelov G. 74. Chevardin D. 47. Godyaev D. 63. Golubev V. 8. Kovalenko A. 22. Lantratov I. (G) 77. Mostovoy A. 9. Pinyaev S. 59. Pogostnov E. 11. Rakov V. 88. Shchetinin M. 16. Veselov D. (G)
Coaches
Semak S.	Galaktionov M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
18', 0 - 1, Rudenko A. ⚽, Babkin S. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
47', 1 - 1, Andrade K. ⚽,
65', Andrade K. ↓, Karavaev V. ↑,
65', Karpukas A. ↓, Pedrinho ↑,
70', 2 - 1, Luiz Henrique ⚽, Pedrinho (A),
72', Bakaev Z. ↓, Pinyaev S. ↑,
76', Morozov E. 🟨,
76', Alip N. 🟨,
80', Jhon Jhon ↓, Kondakov D. ↑,
80', Glushenkov M. ↓, Douglas Santos ↑,
80', Lucas Fasson ↓, Rakov V. ↑,
83', Titkov N. ↓, Mostovoy A. ↑,
89', Sobolev A. ↓, Felipe Augusto ↑,
90+3', Mostovoy A. 🟨,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 5 and 13 in the zone Premier League (Relegation)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zenit won 1.

In recent matches, Zenit has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Lokomotiv's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Lokomotiv has had a series of away games.

In this match, Zenit is the obvious favorite.

There will not play in Zenit: Wendel (Inactive)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Zenit won 8 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 37:23. (average 1.9:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Zenit won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 31:15. (average 2.6:1.3).

Outrights of Russian Premier League for now

Lokomotiv Moscow: 0.84%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Zenit	10	7	0	3	22:11	11	21
12	Lokomotiv Moscow	10	2	4	4	13:11	2	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zenit St Petersburg
Russian Premier League
05.09.26	Zenit - CSKA Moscow	1:2 ✺
Russian Cup
02.09.26	Zenit - Dynamo Makhachkala	3:0 ✺
Russian Premier League
29.08.26	Fakel - Zenit	0:1 ✺
23.08.26	Spartak Moscow - Zenit	2:0 ✺
Russian Cup
19.08.26	Krylya Sovetov - Zenit	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LWWLT
- Lokomotiv Moscow
Russian Premier League
06.09.26	Baltika Kaliningrad - Lokomotiv Moscow	0:1 ✺
Russian Cup
01.09.26	Akron Tolyatti - Lokomotiv Moscow	0:0 ✺
Russian Premier League
29.08.26	Lokomotiv Moscow - Dynamo Moscow	0:1 ✺
22.08.26	CSKA Moscow - Lokomotiv Moscow	3:2 ✺
Russian Cup
18.08.26	Rostov - Lokomotiv Moscow	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Russian Premier League
22.04.26	Lokomotiv Moscow - Zenit	0:0
01.11.25	Zenit - Lokomotiv Moscow	2:0
05.04.25	Lokomotiv Moscow - Zenit	1:1
27.10.24	Zenit - Lokomotiv Moscow	1:1
03.12.23	Lokomotiv Moscow - Zenit	3:1
24.09.23	Zenit - Lokomotiv Moscow	1:2
09.04.23	Lokomotiv Moscow - Zenit	1:2

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