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Current Win Probability
Fakel 24.9%
Draw 27.4%
Krasnodar 47.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
18.1%
22.1%
59.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
17.7%
21.6%
61.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fakel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Fakel's performance.
Krasnodar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Krasnodar might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fakel than the current prediction. (-7.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Fakel that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Krasnodar than the current prediction. (+13.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Krasnodar could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Fakel - Krasnodar Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
35. Dorovskikh V. (G) 8. Bagamaev A. 53. Bardachev M. 40. Clayton Sampaio 22. El Mhassani H. 17. Kovalev A. 97. Magomedov B. 19. Pusi B. 7. Turishchev M. 23. Yakimov V. 20. Yurganov I.
16. Koryakin A. (G) 23. Boselli J. 4. Diego Costa 11. Joao Batxi 59. Khmarin A. 96. Koksharov A. 6. Lenini K. 21. Ozdoev M. 17. Paltsev V. 30. Sadchikov S. 47. Utkin D.
Substitutes
25. Belyaev A. 1. Frolkin D. (G) 5. Gabaraev A. 99. Giorgobiani N. 9. Gnapi Dable A. 52. Netfullin R. 96. Obukhov I. (G) 11. Sutormin A. 55. Todorovic D. 93. Uridia M. 44. Zhuravlev Y.
74. Ambartsumov D. 70. Dryakhlov A. 84. Kudzawu B. 60. Polevoy A. 75. Semizarov O. 86. Urbin A. (G) 10. Vorobyev D. 50. Zakarlyuka N.
Coaches
Vasilenko O.
Musaev M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Yakimov V. ↓, Netfullin R. ↑,
46', Koksharov A. ↓, Dryakhlov A. ↑,
52', Yurganov I. 🟨,
59', 1 - 0, Kovalev A. ⚽, Magomedov B. (A),
60', 1 - 1, Ozdoev M. ⚽, Sadchikov S. (A),
61', Boselli J. ↓, Vorobyev D. ↑,
65', Turishchev M. ↓, Gnapi Dable A. ↑,
65', Bagamaev A. ↓, Giorgobiani N. ↑,
73', Clayton Sampaio ↓, Gabaraev A. ↑,
77', Joao Batxi ↓, Ambartsumov D. ↑,
78', Pusi B. ↓, Todorovic D. ↑,
87', Utkin D. ↓, Polevoy A. ↑,
90', Dryakhlov A. 🟨,
Penalties (3 - 4)
1, Bardachev M. (Penalty Awarded),
1, Paltsev V. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Gnapi Dable A. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Diego Costa (Penalty Awarded),
3, Giorgobiani N. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Vorobyev D. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Magomedov B. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Lenini K. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Todorovic D. (Penalty Awarded),
5, (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fakel won 0.
Fakel is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Krasnodar is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).
In this match, Krasnodar is a strong favorite.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Fakel won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:15. (average 1:2.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Fakel won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).
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Dorovskikh V. (G) 
Clayton Sampaio 
El Mhassani H. 
Kovalev A. 
Pusi B. 
Boselli J. 
Joao Batxi 
Lenini K. 
Gnapi Dable A. 
Todorovic D. 
Ambartsumov D. 
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