Match Info

RUSSIA: FNL 2 - Division A Silver - Fall Season - Round 16

Date: 2 November 2024, Saturday

Location: FC Krasnodar Academy Stadium (Krasnodar)


	Krasnodar 2		Khimik Dzerzhinsk

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.92	3.92
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↓ (2.15)	3.92 ↑ (3.5)	3.92 ↑ (2.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Krasnodar 2
53.6%

Draw
23.2%

Khimik Dzerzhinsk
23.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.6%

26.2%

31.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.8%

23.2%

35.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Krasnodar 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Krasnodar 2's performance.

Khimik Dzerzhinsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Khimik Dzerzhinsk might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Krasnodar 2 than the current prediction. (-15.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Krasnodar 2 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Khimik Dzerzhinsk than the current prediction. (+12%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Khimik Dzerzhinsk could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Safronov R. (G) 75. Bagrintsev E. 55. Domotsev A. 18. Gazinskiy Y. (C) 33. Harutyunyan G. 54. Kistenev K. 96. Koksharov A. 88. Krivtsov N. 94. Kuchugura D. 22. Puzanov S. 29. Shakhov V.	57. Shulkin N. (G) 7. Abramushkin N. 9. Antsiferov I. 44. Chubukin A. (C) 18. Krashevskiy Y. 19. Krasnov Y. 2. Mikhaylenko D. 37. Puchkov S. 23. Sergienko A. 47. Sergienko I. 17. Tsikishev V.
Substitutes
41. Abdrashitov T. 61. Bogdanets M. 89. Dorofeev K. 36. Gayvoronskiy D. 77. Gejtman N. 34. Golikov D. A. (G) 87. Gubzhokov I. 52. Khabarov V. 95. Larionov K. 51. Zvonarev K.	1. Anikeev R. (G) 15. Berezov D. 97. Doronin S. 99. Karasev R. (G) 77. Kotelnikov D. 8. Lysenko N. 10. Merenchukov D. 21. Yuferov L. 80. Zhumabekov M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
9', 0 - 1, Antsiferov I. ⚽,
43', Abramushkin N. 🟨,
45', Mikhaylenko D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
56', Puzanov S. 🟨,
57', 0 - 2, Krasnov Y. ⚽,
59', Domotsev A. ↓, Zvonarev K. ↑,
59', Krivtsov N. ↓, Gejtman N. ↑,
59', Bagrintsev E. ↓, Abdrashitov T. ↑,
64', Kuchugura D. 🟨,
65', Tsikishev V. 🟨,
66', Kuchugura D. ↓, Bogdanets M. ↑,
68', Tsikishev V. ↓, Lysenko N. ↑,
70', Puzanov S. ↓, Larionov K. ↑,
72', Krasnov Y. ↓, Berezov D. ↑,
81', Bogdanets M. 🟨,
81', Koksharov A. 🟨,
81', Berezov D. 🟨,
90+3', Kistenev K. 🟨,
90+4', Safronov R. 🟨,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Krasnodar 2
Russian FNL 2 Division A Silver
26.10.24	Torpedo Miass - Krasnodar 2	1:1 ✺
20.10.24	Krasnodar 2 - Volga Ulyanovsk	1:3 ✺
12.10.24	Mashuk-KMV Pyatigorsk - Krasnodar 2	1:1 ✺
05.10.24	Krasnodar 2 - Rodina Moscow 2	3:4 ✺
29.09.24	Krasnodar 2 - Irtysh Omsk	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 TLTLW
- Khimik Dzerzhinsk
Russian FNL 2 Division A Silver
26.10.24	Khimik Dzerzhinsk - Irtysh Omsk	0:2 ✺
20.10.24	Murom - Khimik Dzerzhinsk	2:1 ✺
12.10.24	Khimik Dzerzhinsk - Metallurg Lipetsk	0:1 ✺
05.10.24	Dynamo Bryansk - Khimik Dzerzhinsk	2:1 ✺
29.09.24	Rodina Moscow 2 - Khimik Dzerzhinsk	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Division A Silver
18.09.24	Khimik Dzerzhinsk - Krasnodar 2	2:1

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