Match Info

BULGARIA: Parva liga - Round 9

Date: 23 September 2024, Monday

Location: Nikola Shterev - Starika Sports Complex (Plovdiv)

Referee: Mitrev V. (Bul)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Sportklub 2
Bulgaria	Diema Sport, Play Diema Xtra
Croatia	SportKlub 2
Slovenia	SportKlub 2


	Krumovgrad		Botev Vratsa

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.4	4	Watch
	1.9	3.1	4
	1.9	3.3	4
	1.97	3.25	4.38
	1.94	3.24	4.15	Watch
	1.8	3.3	4
	1.96	3.28	3.99	Watch
	1.9	3.3	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↓ (2.16)	3.27 ↑ (3.15)	4.07 ↑ (3.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Krumovgrad
48.7%

Draw
28.4%

Botev Vratsa
22.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.1%

29.5%

27.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.6%

29.8%

27.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Krumovgrad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Krumovgrad's performance.

Botev Vratsa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Krumovgrad than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Krumovgrad that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Botev Vratsa than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	7.1%	21.4%

Krumovgrad - Botev Vratsa Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Krumovgrad will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%). Botev Vratsa will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Krumovgrad: 47.7% – 95.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Georgiev Y. (G) 4. Lucas Santana 5. Simic M. 24. Marin L. 2. Ali D. 44. Katsarov B. (C) 13. Diego Raposo 7. Tsvetanov M. 10. Yusein S. 9. Rafael Furtado 70. Matheus Souza	34. Barrios F. (G) 19. Perea B. (C) 21. Traore B. 29. Bachev M. S. 70. Georgiev D. 9. Genov D. 11. Achkov M. 33. Tsonkov S. 6. Suarez D. 25. Lozev D. 24. Smolenski M.
Substitutes
22. Dost E. 11. Georgiev A. 99. Guermouche Y. 21. Makendzhiev B. (G) 19. Milev N. 14. Popov S. 25. Rabotov S. 91. Velev V. 77. Yusein O.	32. Dichev M. 10. Georgiev S. 17. Ivaylov Ch. 8. Kondrakov D. 14. Majouga M. 15. Marinov M. 22. Stoyanov A. 1. Vasilev L. (G) 77. Velev S.
Coaches
Ribarski A.	Yanev H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
17', Lozev D. 🟨,
25', Bachev M. S. 🟨,
34', 1 - 0, Rafael Furtado ⚽, Yusein S. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Traore B. ↓, Majouga M. ↑,
46', Smolenski M. ↓, Kondrakov D. ↑,
47', 2 - 0, Matheus Souza ⚽,
54', Achkov M. ↓, Dichev M. ↑,
62', Georgiev D. ↓, Stoyanov A. ↑,
69', Barrios F. 🟥,
70', Genov D. ↓, Vasilev L. ↑,
71', 3 - 0, Yusein S. (Pen),
77', Rafael Furtado ↓, Milev N. ↑,
77', Tsvetanov M. ↓, Georgiev A. ↑,
80', Perea B. 🟨,
83', Yusein S. ↓, Dost E. ↑,
86', Matheus Souza ↓, Yusein O. ↑,
86', Diego Raposo ↓, Popov S. ↑,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 14 in the zone Parva liga (Relegation Group: ) and 13 in the zone Parva liga (Relegation Group: )).

Krumovgrad is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Botev Vratsa is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Krumovgrad is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Krumovgrad won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Krumovgrad won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Krumovgrad
Bulgarian Parva Liga
15.09.24	Krumovgrad - Ludogorets Razgrad	0:3 ✺
31.08.24	Krumovgrad - Septemvri Sofia	2:0 ✺
26.08.24	Cherno More Varna - Krumovgrad	3:0 ✺
16.08.24	Krumovgrad - Beroe Stara Zagora	0:1 ✺
10.08.24	Levski Sofia - Krumovgrad	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LWLLL
- Botev Vratsa
Bulgarian Parva Liga
13.09.24	Botev Vratsa - Spartak Varna	1:1 ✺
30.08.24	Botev Vratsa - CSKA 1948 Sofia	0:3 ✺
23.08.24	Lokomotiv Sofia - Botev Vratsa	0:1 ✺
19.08.24	Botev Vratsa - Septemvri Sofia	2:0 ✺
12.08.24	Cherno More Varna - Botev Vratsa	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 TLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Bulgarian Parva Liga
08.04.24	Botev Vratsa - Krumovgrad	0:0
06.10.23	Krumovgrad - Botev Vratsa	1:0

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