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Current Win Probability
Lokomotiv Moscow 50.8%
Draw 25.1%
Krylya Sovetov 24.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
52%
24.3%
23.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
51.6%
24.1%
23.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lokomotiv Moscow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
Krylya Sovetov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lokomotiv Moscow than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Krylya Sovetov than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
Lokomotiv Moscow - Krylya Sovetov Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Mitryushkin A. (C) 24. Nenakhov M. 85. Morozov E. 45. Silyanov A. 74. Chevardin D. 75. Eremeev I. 6. Babkin S. 18. Titkov N. 19. Rudenko A. 77. Mostovoy A. 27. Komlichenko N.
80. Kokarev N. (G) 15. Rasskazov N. 23. Chernov N. 47. Bozhin S. 2. Pechenin K. 22. Fernando Costanza (C) 4. Gorshkov Y. 17. Chesnokov I. 8. Vityugov M. 10. Kramaric M. 73. Shitov V.
Substitutes
7. Bakaev Z. 60. Belotelov G. 47. Godyaev D. 63. Golubev V. 22. Lantratov I. (G) 99. Myalkovskiy R. 9. Pinyaev S. 11. Rakov V. 88. Shchetinin M. 16. Veselov D. (G)
97. Akhmetov I. 7. Banjac M. 72. Fernandez D. 39. Frolov E. (G) 3. Galdames T. 18. Lepskii I. 77. Makarov D. 67. Mukailov K. 5. Oroz D. 11. Rahmanovic A. 14. Saltykov N. 20. Stolbov K.
Coaches
Galaktionov M.
Bulatov S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
33', Komlichenko N. 🟨,
33', Chernov N. 🟨,
41', Chevardin D. 🟨,
44', Chesnokov I. 🟨,
45+1', Rudenko A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Shitov V. ↓, Rahmanovic A. ↑,
46', Chesnokov I. ↓, Saltykov N. ↑,
48', Nenakhov M. 🟨,
53', 1 - 0, Komlichenko N. ⚽,
59', Fernando Costanza 🟨,
64', Eremeev I. 🟨,
66', Chevardin D. ↓, Rakov V. ↑,
67', 1 - 1, Rahmanovic A. ⚽, Saltykov N. (A),
70', Vityugov M. ↓, Stolbov K. ↑,
71', Titkov N. ↓, Bakaev Z. ↑,
74', Rahmanovic A. 🟨,
80', Kramaric M. ↓, Banjac M. ↑,
80', Galaktionov M. 🟨,
86', Komlichenko N. ↓, Pinyaev S. ↑,
86', Rudenko A. ↓, Godyaev D. ↑,
86', Rasskazov N. ↓, Oroz D. ↑,
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 in the zone Premier League (Relegation) and 10).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lokomotiv won 1.
Lokomotiv is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Krylya Sovetov is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Krylya Sovetov may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Lokomotiv has had a series of away games.
In this match, Lokomotiv is the team to beat.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lokomotiv won 8 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 32:27. (average 1.6:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Lokomotiv won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:8. (average 1.4:0.9).
Russia
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Mitryushkin A. (C) 
Pechenin K. 
Fernando Costanza (C) 
Chesnokov I. 
Kramaric M. 
Banjac M. 
Fernandez D. 
Galdames T. 
Oroz D. 
Rahmanovic A. 
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