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Current Win Probability
Sochi 20.6%
Draw 24.2%
Dynamo Moscow 55.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
18%
20.8%
61.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
17.8%
20.6%
61.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sochi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
Dynamo Moscow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Dynamo Moscow might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sochi than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dynamo Moscow than the current prediction. (+6.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dynamo Moscow could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Sochi - Dynamo Moscow Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Dynamo M (votes: 1 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH +1 - Sochi (1.65) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Sochi (votes: 1 - 50%). Dynamo M (votes: 1 - 50%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
88. Lomaev I. (G) 27. Zaika K. (C) 4. Litvinov V. 6. Saavedra I. 28. Magal R. 34. Osipov A. 19. Kovalenko A. 15. Agbalaka S. 16. Mukhin M. 59. Bart R. 18. Korneev A.
40. Rasulov K. (G) 50. Kutitsky A. 2. Marichal N. 6. Fernandez R. 7. Skopintsev D. 74. Fomin D. 15. Glebov D. 14. Maouhoub E. 21. Miranchuk An. 13. Moumi Ngamaleu N. 70. Tyukavin K.
Substitutes
5. Aberdin N. 25. Attiyat Allah Y. 35. Degtev A. (G) 29. Ezhov R. 9. Fedorov Z. 10. Kramaric M. 14. Kravtsov K. 1. Rudakov M. (G) 3. Soldatenkov A. 44. Stojic N. 20. Vasiljev D. 82. Volkov S.
30. Aleksandrov D. 17. Babaev U. 4. Caceres J. 47. Kudravets A. (G) 31. Leshchuk I. (G) 77. Makarov D. 88. Okishor V. 44. Rubens 33. Sergeev I. 56. Zaydenzal L. 19. Zaynutdinov B.
Coaches
Osinkin I.
Karpin V.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 3)
10', 0 - 1, Maouhoub E. ⚽, Miranchuk An. (A),
17', Agbalaka S. 🟨,
22', 0 - 2, Skopintsev D. ⚽, Fomin D. (A),
36', 0 - 3, Marichal N. ⚽, Skopintsev D. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
50', 0 - 4, Tyukavin K. ⚽,
60', Tyukavin K. ↓, Makarov D. ↑,
60', Fomin D. ↓, Okishor V. ↑,
62', Korneev A. ↓, Ezhov R. ↑,
62', Mukhin M. ↓, Vasiljev D. ↑,
62', Agbalaka S. ↓, Aberdin N. ↑,
67', Makarov D. 🟨,
73', Miranchuk An. ↓, Aleksandrov D. ↑,
73', Bart R. ↓, Fedorov Z. ↑,
76', Osipov A. 🟨,
79', 🟨,
82', Glebov D. ↓, Zaynutdinov B. ↑,
82', Maouhoub E. ↓, Sergeev I. ↑,
82', Kovalenko A. ↓, Kravtsov K. ↑,
84', Saavedra I. 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sochi won 1.
Sochi has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Dynamo M has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Sochi may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Dynamo M is the team to beat.
In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Sochi won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 32:24. (average 2.1:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Sochi won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:7. (average 1.5:1.2).
Russia
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Lomaev I. (G) 
Saavedra I. 
Agbalaka S. 
Marichal N. 
Fernandez R. 
Maouhoub E. 
Moumi Ngamaleu N. 
Kramaric M. 
Stojic N. 
Kudravets A. (G) 
Rubens 
Zaynutdinov B. 
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