Match Info

Premier League - Round 9

Date: 21 September 2025, Sunday

Location: Luzhniki Stadium (Moscow)

Referee: Tsyganok S. (Rus)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	Q League Asia, Q Sport Asia
Belarus	Belarus 5
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 4
Croatia	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Kosovo	Arena Premium 3
Russia	Match! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Premium 3


	Orenburg		Dynamo Moscow

	1	X	2
	4.8	4.3	1.67
	4.66	4.35	1.75
	3.9	3.8	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.45 ↑ (3.65)	4.15 ↑ (3.65)	1.74 ↓ (1.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Orenburg
21.6%

Draw
23.2%

Dynamo Moscow
55.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.4%

49.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.1%

21.4%

41.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Orenburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Dynamo Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Dynamo Moscow's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orenburg than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Orenburg, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dynamo Moscow than the current prediction. (-13.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Dynamo Moscow, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Orenburg - Dynamo Moscow Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Orenburg will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Dynamo M will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0, 1st Half - Dynamo M (1.33) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Dynamo M (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ovsyannikov B. (G) 26. Tsenov E. 38. Kasimov A. 44. Chichinadze A. 18. Moufi F. 57. Bolotov E. 33. Kvekveskiri I. 37. Du Queiroz 31. Zotov G. (C) 9. Savelyev M. 85. Ignatjev I.	99. Lunev A. (G) 4. Caceres J. 55. Osipenko M. 19. Zaynutdinov B. 44. Rubens 74. Fomin D. (C) 15. Glebov D. 21. Miranchuk An. 14. Maouhoub E. 33. Sergeev I. 10. Bitello
Substitutes
19. Alexandre Jesus 29. Bubanja V. 22. Gorelov P. 7. Gurluk E. 8. Kamilov V. 4. Khotulev D. 88. Koserik N. 11. Oganesyan S. 2. Poroykov S. 20. Rybchinskiy D. 99. Sysuev N. (G) 16. Thompson J.	30. Aleksandrov D. 17. Babaev U. 6. Fernandez R. 50. Kutitsky A. 31. Leshchuk I. (G) 2. Marichal N. 88. Okishor V. 40. Rasulov K. (G) 7. Skopintsev D. 70. Tyukavin K. 56. Zaydenzal L.
Coaches
Sliskovic V.	Karpin V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
22', Kvekveskiri I. 🟨,
28', Fomin D. 🟨,
45+2', Chichinadze A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
57', 0 - 1, Maouhoub E. ⚽,
62', Kvekveskiri I. ↓, Kamilov V. ↑,
62', Ignatjev I. ↓, Koserik N. ↑,
62', Tsenov E. ↓, Thompson J. ↑,
67', Maouhoub E. ↓, Babaev U. ↑,
67', Miranchuk An. ↓, Marichal N. ↑,
74', Moufi F. ↓, Gurluk E. ↑,
77', Caceres J. 🟨,
85', 0 - 2, Osipenko M. (Pen),
86', Bolotov E. ↓, Bubanja V. ↑,
90+3', Fomin D. ↓, Aleksandrov D. ↑,
90+3', Caceres J. ↓, Kutitsky A. ↑,
90+5', Sergeev I. ↓, Okishor V. ↑,
90+7', 0 - 3, Babaev U. ⚽, Bitello (A),
90+9', 1 - 3, Savelyev M. ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 13 in the zone Premier League (Relegation) and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Orenburg won 0.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Recently, Orenburg has had a series of home games.

In this match, Dynamo M is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Dynamo M: Arthur Gomes (Achilles Tendon Injury) Chavez L. (Knee Injury) Gladyshev Y. (Muscle Injury) Majstorovic M. (Lacking Match Fitness)

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Orenburg won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 23:34. (average 1.4:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Orenburg won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:14. (average 1.7:1.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Orenburg
Russian Cup
16.09.25	Orenburg - Rubin Kazan	1:0 penalties ✺
Russian Premier League
13.09.25	Nizhny Novgorod - Orenburg	3:1 ✺
30.08.25	Orenburg - Rubin Kazan	2:2 ✺
Russian Cup
26.08.25	Orenburg - Zenit	3:5 ✺
Russian Premier League
22.08.25	Orenburg - Akhmat Grozny	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WLTLT
- FC Dynamo Moscow
Russian Cup
17.09.25	Sochi - Dynamo Moscow	0:4 ✺
Russian Premier League
13.09.25	Dynamo Moscow - Spartak Moscow	2:2 ✺
31.08.25	Dynamo Makhachkala - Dynamo Moscow	1:0 ✺
Russian Cup
27.08.25	Krylya Sovetov - Dynamo Moscow	1:0 penalties ✺
Russian Premier League
23.08.25	Dynamo Moscow - Nizhny Novgorod	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Russian Premier League
29.03.25	Dynamo Moscow - Orenburg	5:1
01.09.24	Orenburg - Dynamo Moscow	2:2
24.04.24	Orenburg - Dynamo Moscow	1:2
Russian Cup
17.04.24	Orenburg - Dynamo Moscow	2:4
Club Friendly
08.02.24	Dynamo Moscow - Orenburg	4:1
Russian Premier League
12.11.23	Dynamo Moscow - Orenburg	2:0
03.06.23	Orenburg - Dynamo Moscow	3:0

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