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Current Win Probability
Krylya Sovetov 38.3%
Draw 27.7%
Orenburg 34%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
44.3%
27.2%
28.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Krylya Sovetov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Krylya Sovetov's form might have worsened.
Orenburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Orenburg's recent form is better than expected.
Krylya Sovetov - Orenburg Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
80. Kokarev N. (G) 77. Akhmetov I. 6. Babkin S. 47. Bozhin S. 23. Chernov N. 72. Fernandez D. 3. Galdames T. 99. Geoffrey C. 5. Oroz D. 70. Shumansky A. 20. Stolbov K.
88. Rudakov M. (G) 19. Alexandre Jesus 57. Bolotov E. 32. Cantero A. 37. Du Queiroz 29. El Mahraoui A. 4. Khotulev D. 33. Kvekveskiri I. (C) 2. Poroykov S. 20. Rybchinskiy D. 5. Tataev A.
Substitutes
14. Banjac M. 24. Evgenyev R. 39. Frolov E. (G) 91. Ignatenko V. 10. Khubulov V. 18. Lepskii I. 71. Nedospasov M. (G) 19. Oleynikov I. 2. Pechenin K. 15. Rasskazov N. 31. Requena G. 8. Vityugov M.
48. Antsiperov E. 83. Cherkasov D. 27. Golybin R. 22. Gorelov P. 30. Guzina G. 65. Ivashchenko I. 38. Kasimov A. 95. Khodanovich A. (G) 63. Minatulaev O. 80. Pykhcheev M. 26. Tsenov E.
Coaches
Adiev M.
Akhmetzyanov I.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
6', Kvekveskiri I. 🟨,
11', Khotulev D. ↓, Kasimov A. ↑,
38', Galdames T. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
50', Bolotov E. 🟥,
52', 1 - 0, Fernandez D. ⚽,
63', Alexandre Jesus ↓, Golybin R. ↑,
63', Du Queiroz ↓, Guzina G. ↑,
67', Shumansky A. ↓, Oleynikov I. ↑,
67', Geoffrey C. ↓, Ignatenko V. ↑,
67', Galdames T. ↓, Pechenin K. ↑,
74', 2 - 0, Babkin S. ⚽,
76', Guzina G. 🟨,
77', Stolbov K. ↓, Khubulov V. ↑,
77', Fernandez D. ↓, Rasskazov N. ↑,
84', Rybchinskiy D. ↓, Antsiperov E. ↑,
84', El Mahraoui A. ↓, Gorelov P. ↑,
86', Tataev A. 🟨,
90+3', Kvekveskiri I. 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Krylya Sovetov won 1.
Orenburg has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).
Orenburg may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Orenburg has had a series of home games.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Krylya Sovetov won 5 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 21:24. (average 1.1:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Krylya Sovetov won 2 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 0.7:0.8).
Outrights of Russian Cup for now
Orenburg: 0.84%
Last Results with these Odds
Orenburg - the odds 3.2 are the expected chance of winning is 28.5%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.
Russia
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Kokarev N. (G) 
Fernandez D. 
Galdames T. 
Geoffrey C. 
Oroz D. 
Shumansky A. 
Alexandre Jesus 
Cantero A. 
El Mahraoui A. 
Banjac M. 
Requena G. 
Gorelov P. 
Guzina G. 
Tsenov E. 
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