The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Baltika Kaliningrad 58.7%
Draw 24.5%
Krylya Sovetov 16.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
52%
26.9%
21.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
56%
29%
19.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Baltika Kaliningrad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Baltika Kaliningrad's performance.
Krylya Sovetov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Baltika Kaliningrad than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Krylya Sovetov than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
Baltika Kaliningrad - Krylya Sovetov Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
44. Lyubakov E. (G) 2. Varatynov S. 3. Kirsch I. 77. Civic E. (C) 14. Kovac S. 18. Moufi F. 10. Petrov I. 26. Belikov I. 68. Ryadno M. 15. Yenne T. 9. Offor C.
80. Kokarev N. (G) 72. Fernandez D. 5. Oroz D. (C) 3. Galdames T. 18. Lepskii I. 20. Stolbov K. 73. Shitov V. 77. Makarov D. 70. Sharipov S. 26. Marin J. 67. Mukailov K.
Substitutes
21. Anderson E. 22. Beveev M. 43. Bokov N. 91. Gil B. 81. Kukushkin I. (G) 57. Mamedov E. 40. Nikitin D. 73. Petrov M. 42. Pospelov V. 7. Shiltsov K. 19. Shnaptsev M. 59. Timofeev T.
35. Abzalilov A. 92. Eskerov E. 75. Filippov D. 39. Frolov E. (G) 9. Geoffrey C. 78. Malikov Pavlovich D. 59. Savelyev D.
Coaches
Talalaev A.
Bulatov S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
30', Civic E. 🟨,
30', Talalaev A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Offor C. ↓, Gil B. ↑,
46', Yenne T. ↓, Shiltsov K. ↑,
46', Civic E. ↓, Beveev M. ↑,
57', Kovac S. 🟨,
58', Kovac S. ↓, Shnaptsev M. ↑,
66', Moufi F. 🟨,
67', Lepskii I. 🟨,
79', Petrov I. 🟨,
80', Moufi F. ↓, Petrov M. ↑,
81', Marin J. ↓, Malikov Pavlovich D. ↑,
81', Shitov V. ↓, Geoffrey C. ↑,
87', Gil B. 🟨,
90+4', Makarov D. ↓, Abzalilov A. ↑,
Penalties (3 - 5)
1, Lepskii I. (Penalty Awarded),
1, Beveev M. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Mukailov K. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Ryadno M. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Galdames T. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Shiltsov K. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Stolbov K. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Petrov M. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Geoffrey C. (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Baltika won 3.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Baltika may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Baltika is a strong favorite.
In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Baltika won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 13:16. (average 1:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Baltika won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 1:1).