Match Info

EUROPE: Conference League - Qualification - Quarter-finals

Date: 25 July 2024, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Vare Areena (Kuopio) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Griffith I. A. (Wal)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Norway	17:00	Direkte Sport


	KuPS Kuopio		Tromsø

	1	X	2
	2.8	3.4	2.2	Watch
	2.9	3.4	2.2
	3	3.3	2.3	Watch
	3.13	3.45	2.33
	3.09	3.36	2.26	Watch
	2.88	3.4	2.2
	3.07	3.38	2.26	Watch
	3.05	3.5	2.23
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.99 ↑ (2.89)	3.4 ↓ (3.64)	2.25 ↑ (2.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

KuPS Kuopio
31.2%

Draw
27.4%

Tromsø
41.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

32%

25.3%

42.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.5%

24.2%

40.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

KuPS Kuopio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Tromsø has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for KuPS Kuopio than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tromsø than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
38.5%	11.5%	50%

KuPS Kuopio - Tromsø Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. KuPS will win (votes: 10 - 41.7%). Tromsø will win (votes: 11 - 45.8%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tromsø: 25.9% – 65.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kreidl J. (G) 6. Savolainen S. 33. Hamalainen T. 16. Miettinen S. 25. Antwi C. 21. Luyeye-Lutumba J. 28. Siltanen M. 8. Pennanen P. (C) 34. Ruoppi O. 26. Vidjeskog A. 11. Diawara O.	33. Jensen H. (G) 4. Skjaervik V. 21. Guddal T. 5. Jenssen A. 17. Paintsil Y. 11. Jenssen R. (C) 6. Hjerto-Dahl J. 8. Antonsen K. 23. Norheim R. 10. Romsaas J. 9. Nordas L.
Substitutes
15. Cisse I. 12. Hakala A. (G) 17. Heinonen A. 31. Hukkanen T. 19. Koistinen S. 23. Ogunkoya P. 13. Oksanen J. 37. Pitkanen M. (G) 18. Saarinen S. 30. Sahimaa L.	14. Barry M. T. 18. Johnsgard M. 19. Larsen H. 25. Nilsen L. 27. Psyche C. 3. Robertsen J. 12. Thomas S. (G) 7. Winther F.
Coaches
Honkavaara J.	Holme G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
54', 0 - 1, Nordas L. ⚽,
59', Ruoppi O. ↓, Heinonen A. ↑,
64', Diawara O. ↓, Ogunkoya P. ↑,
67', Siltanen M. 🟨,
74', Luyeye-Lutumba J. ↓, Oksanen J. ↑,
74', Pennanen P. ↓, Cisse I. ↑,
76', Romsaas J. ↓, Larsen H. ↑,
76', Norheim R. ↓, Nilsen L. ↑,
76', Hjerto-Dahl J. ↓, Winther F. ↑,
90', Paintsil Y. ↓, Robertsen J. ↑,

Preview

1st leg.

KuPS in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Tromsø is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Tromsø could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KuPS Kuopio
Finnish Veikkausliiga
21.07.24	KuPS Kuopio - Lahti	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
18.07.24	KuPS Kuopio - UNA Strassen	5:0 ✺
11.07.24	UNA Strassen - KuPS Kuopio	0:0 ✺
Finnish Veikkausliiga
07.07.24	KuPS Kuopio - Gnistan	3:1 ✺
Finnish Cup
03.07.24	Ekenäs - KuPS Kuopio	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WWTWW
- Tromsø IL
Norwegian Eliteserien
21.07.24	Strømsgodset - Tromsø	0:1 ✺
13.07.24	Tromsø - KFUM-Kameratene Oslo	1:2 ✺
07.07.24	Hamarkameratene - Tromsø	0:0 ✺
03.07.24	Sandefjord - Tromsø	1:2 ✺
28.06.24	Tromsø - Molde	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 WLTWL

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