Match Info

Date: 29 September 2021, Wednesday


	Kuban Krasnodar		Orenburg

	1	X	2
	5.25	3.9	1.55
	5.5	3.95	1.45
	5.4	3.9	1.47
	6.2	4.34	1.52
	5.8	3.8	1.5
	6.25	4.3	1.5	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.73 ↑ (5.09)	4.03 ↑ (3.62)	1.5 ↓ (1.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kuban Krasnodar
16%

Draw
22.8%

Orenburg
61.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.2%

25.6%

56.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.9%

21%

68.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kuban Krasnodar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Orenburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kuban Krasnodar than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orenburg than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Orenburg could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Kuban Krasnodar - Orenburg Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League).

Kuban is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Orenburg is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Orenburg is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Kuban won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Kuban won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kuban Krasnodar
Russian FNL
25.09.21	Tom Tomsk - Kuban Krasnodar	2:1 ✺
19.09.21	Kuban Krasnodar - Fakel	0:4 ✺
15.09.21	Baltika Kaliningrad - Kuban Krasnodar	0:0 ✺
11.09.21	Kuban Krasnodar - Metallurg Lipetsk	0:3 ✺
05.09.21	Volgar Astrakhan - Kuban Krasnodar	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 LLTLW
- FC Orenburg
Russian FNL
25.09.21	Orenburg - Yenisey Krasnoyarsk	2:0 ✺
19.09.21	Torpedo Moscow - Orenburg	2:1 ✺
15.09.21	Orenburg - Krasnodar 2	2:0 ✺
11.09.21	KAMAZ - Orenburg	0:4 ✺
05.09.21	Orenburg - Rotor	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL
04.03.18	Orenburg - Kuban Krasnodar	1:0
13.08.17	Kuban Krasnodar - Orenburg	4:1

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