Match Info

RUSSIA: FNL - ROUND 30

Date: 6 May 2023, Saturday

Location: Kaliningrad Stadium (Kaliningrad)

Referee: Fedorov A. (Rus)


	Baltika Kaliningrad		Kuban Krasnodar

	1	X	2
	1.29	5.23	10.34
	1.32	4.75	9.3	Watch
	1.3	4.6	8.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.3 ↓ (1.49)	4.86 ↑ (3.83)	9.48 ↑ (6.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Baltika Kaliningrad
71.1%

Draw
19.1%

Kuban Krasnodar
9.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.2%

24.2%

13.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.2%

24.2%

13.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Baltika Kaliningrad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Baltika Kaliningrad's performance.

Kuban Krasnodar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Baltika Kaliningrad than the current prediction. (-8.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Baltika Kaliningrad that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kuban Krasnodar than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Baltika Kaliningrad - Kuban Krasnodar Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League and 14).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Baltika won 2.

Recent matches Baltika is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Kuban is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Baltika is indisputable favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Baltika won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Baltika won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Baltika Kaliningrad
Russian FNL
29.04.23	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Baltika Kaliningrad	0:0 ✺
22.04.23	Baltika Kaliningrad - Ufa	3:2 ✺
15.04.23	Yenisey Krasnoyarsk - Baltika Kaliningrad	1:1 ✺
07.04.23	Baltika Kaliningrad - Rodina Moscow	0:0 ✺
02.04.23	Dynamo Makhachkala - Baltika Kaliningrad	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 TWTTT
- Kuban Krasnodar
Russian FNL
29.04.23	Kuban Krasnodar - Akron Tolyatti	1:1 ✺
23.04.23	Krasnodar 2 - Kuban Krasnodar	1:1 ✺
15.04.23	Kuban Krasnodar - SKA Khabarovsk	2:2 ✺
08.04.23	Arsenal Tula - Kuban Krasnodar	1:2 ✺
02.04.23	Kuban Krasnodar - Shinnik	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.6 TTTWW

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL
16.10.22	Kuban Krasnodar - Baltika Kaliningrad	0:0
26.03.22	Kuban Krasnodar - Baltika Kaliningrad	1:1
15.09.21	Baltika Kaliningrad - Kuban Krasnodar	0:0
24.03.18	Kuban Krasnodar - Baltika Kaliningrad	0:1
02.09.17	Baltika Kaliningrad - Kuban Krasnodar	5:1
06.05.17	Baltika Kaliningrad - Kuban Krasnodar	0:1
15.10.16	Kuban Krasnodar - Baltika Kaliningrad	1:1

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