Match Info

Meistriliiga - Round 20

Date: 19 July 2026, Sunday

Location: Kuressaare Linnastaadion (Kuressaare)

Where to Watch on TV:


Estonia	Jalgpall.ee, Soccernet TV
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Kuressaare		Nõmme Kalju

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4.50	3.80	1.57
	4.70	3.75	1.62
	5.46	4.24	1.58
	4.36	3.96	1.68	Watch
	5.40	4.15	1.53
	4.55	4.10	1.65	Watch
	4.70	3.90	1.59
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.81 ↑ (4.63)	3.99 ↑ (3.95)	1.6 ↓ (1.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kuressaare
19.2%

Draw
23.2%

Nõmme Kalju
57.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.8%

23.2%

57%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.3%

22.6%

58.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kuressaare has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Nõmme Kalju has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kuressaare than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nõmme Kalju than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Kuressaare - Nõmme Kalju Predictions

Users Predictions: Nõmme Kalju will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Nomm K. (C) 23. Saar R. 36. Piil R. 21. Lukka M. 68. Vahermagi J. 5. Sinilaid S. 8. Andreas D. 77. Demidov E. 7. Talu R. 11. Jurisoo T. 10. Kivi A.	1. Perk H. (C) 78. Mashchenko D. 46. Vukusic R. 5. Korre U. 4. Borolinstsikov A. 8. Musolitin O. 88. Sotsugov D. 26. Siht R. 10. Ivanov N. 11. Orlov M. 9. Godwin C.
Substitutes
18. Dzemesjuk M. 37. Leivategija M. 25. Lonks J. 28. Lukas R. 22. Ristna S. (G) 17. Roivassepp G. 70. Vahermagi J. 13. Visse A.	21. Baptista T. 52. Idalecio 30. Jabir I. 2. Lillemets J. 17. Lotar Eyang E. E. 22. Nikolajev A. 69. Pavlov M. (G) 20. Tambedou M. 7. Tarassenkov D.
Coaches
Post S.	Andreev N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
62', Godwin C. ↓, Lotar Eyang E. E. ↑,
62', Ivanov N. ↓, Baptista T. ↑,
68', Demidov E. ↓, Roivassepp G. ↑,
76', Jurisoo T. 🟨,
76', Borolinstsikov A. ↓, Nikolajev A. ↑,
76', Mashchenko D. ↓, Tambedou M. ↑,
81', Sotsugov D. ↓, Tarassenkov D. ↑,
82', Vukusic R. 🟨,
85', Sinilaid S. ↓, Lukas R. ↑,
89', Kivi A. ↓, Leivategija M. ↑,
89', Talu R. ↓, Visse A. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kuressaare won 0.

Kuressaare is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Nõmme Kalju is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Nõmme Kalju may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Nõmme Kalju is the team to beat.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kuressaare won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 11:46. (average 0.6:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Kuressaare won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 5:17. (average 0.5:1.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Kalju	29	15	5	9	52:27	25	50
8	Kuressaare	29	8	5	16	31:49	-18	29

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Kuressaare
Estonian Meistriliiga
11.07.26	Nõmme United - Kuressaare	3:2 ✺
02.07.26	Kuressaare - Flora Tallinn	0:3 ✺
26.06.26	Pärnu Vaprus - Kuressaare	1:0 ✺
16.06.26	Kuressaare - Narva Trans	0:0 ✺
13.06.26	Harju JK Laagri - Kuressaare	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LLLTW
- Nõmme Kalju FC
UEFA Europa Conference League
16.07.26	Linfield - Nõmme Kalju	2:2 ✺
09.07.26	Nõmme Kalju - Linfield	1:0 ✺
Estonian Meistriliiga
03.07.26	Nõmme United - Nõmme Kalju	1:3 ✺
28.06.26	Nõmme Kalju - Paide LM	1:1 ✺
20.06.26	Levadia Tallinn - Nõmme Kalju	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 TWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Estonian Meistriliiga
17.05.26	Kuressaare - Nõmme Kalju	0:2
21.03.26	Nõmme Kalju - Kuressaare	4:0
25.10.25	Kuressaare - Nõmme Kalju	0:1
31.08.25	Nõmme Kalju - Kuressaare	2:0
18.05.25	Nõmme Kalju - Kuressaare	4:0
12.04.25	Kuressaare - Nõmme Kalju	0:2
02.11.24	Kuressaare - Nõmme Kalju	1:2

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