Match Info

Conference League - Qualification - 1/8-finals

Date: 9 July 2026, Thursday

Location: Hiiu Stadium (Tallinn)

Referee: Simarro A. (And)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Linfield TV
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Nõmme Kalju		Linfield

	1	X	2
	2.40	3.20	2.63	Watch
	2.35	3.10	2.80
	2.35	3.15	3.00	Watch
	2.58	3.23	2.86
	2.29	3.2	3.12	Watch
	2.40	3.15	2.60
	2.62	3.40	2.66	Watch
	2.36	3.20	2.90
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 ↑ (1.89)	3.2 ↓ (3.43)	2.82 ↓ (3.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nõmme Kalju
38.3%

Draw
28.9%

Linfield
32.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.1%

27.1%

23.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nõmme Kalju has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nõmme Kalju's form might have worsened.

Linfield has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Linfield's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	13.3%	20%

Nõmme Kalju - Linfield Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Nõmme Kalju will win (votes: 10 - 66.7%). Linfield will win (votes: 3 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 13.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nõmme Kalju: 42.8% – 90.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Linfield (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 - Linfield (3.07) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Linfield (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Perk H. (C) 87. Mashchenko D. 50. Podholjuzin M. 46. Vukusic R. 22. Nikolajev A. 26. Siht R. 20. Tambedou M. 8. Musolitin O. 59. Vastsuk B. 17. Lotar Eyang E. E. 21. Baptista T.	1. Johns Ch. (G) 27. McGee E. 15. Hall B. 4. Nolan R. 33. Leahy D. 8. McClean K. 5. Shields C. (C) 26. Baird I. 7. Millar K. 29. Fitzpatrick M. 10. Frizzell A.
Substitutes
4. Borolinstsikov A. 9. Godwin C. 52. Idalecio 10. Ivanov N. 30. Jabir I. 5. Korre U. 2. Lillemets J. 11. Orlov M. 69. Pavlov M. (G) 88. Sotsugov D. 7. Tarassenkov D.	24. Brown S. 66. Chapman C. 18. Glavin A. (G) 70. Graham J. 74. Jermakovas D. 34. McCullough D. 37. McKay R. 30. Moore K. 9. Offord K. 16. Wells D.
Coaches
Andreev N.	Healy D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
47', 1 - 0, Vukusic R. ⚽, Musolitin O. (A),
62', Millar K. ↓, Wells D. ↑,
68', Musolitin O. ↓, Orlov M. ↑,
71', Baird I. ↓, McCullough D. ↑,
71', Frizzell A. ↓, Offord K. ↑,
81', Shields C. 🟨,
84', Mashchenko D. ↓, Sotsugov D. ↑,
84', Baptista T. ↓, Jabir I. ↑,
90+2', McGee E. ↓, Brown S. ↑,

Preview

First leg.

Nõmme Kalju has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Nõmme Kalju may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Nõmme Kalju might have a minor edge in this game.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nõmme Kalju FC
Estonian Meistriliiga
03.07.26	Nõmme United - Nõmme Kalju	1:3 ✺
28.06.26	Nõmme Kalju - Paide LM	1:1 ✺
20.06.26	Levadia Tallinn - Nõmme Kalju	1:1 ✺
17.06.26	Nõmme Kalju - Tammeka	1:2 ✺
14.06.26	Nõmme Kalju - Paide LM	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WTTLT
- Linfield FC
Club Friendly
04.07.26	Linfield - Kilmarnock	2:3 ✺
Northern Irish Premiership
12.05.26	Linfield - Dungannon Swifts	3:1 ✺
25.04.26	Linfield - Cliftonville	1:2 ✺
18.04.26	Linfield - Coleraine	0:3 ✺
11.04.26	Linfield - Larne	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LWLLL

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