Match Info

Date: 10 October 2021, Sunday


	Kyoto Sanga		Sagamihara

	1	X	2
	1.5	4.33	5.75	Watch
	1.38	4.1	7.25
	1.43	4.1	7.5	Watch
	1.46	4	6.4
	1.47	4.36	7.85
	1.42	3.9	7.5
	1.49	4.2	7.1	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↑ (1.44)	4.14 ↓ (4.55)	7.05 ↓ (7.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kyoto Sanga
64.3%

Draw
22.5%

Sagamihara
13.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.7%

21.1%

12.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.2%

11.4%

22.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kyoto Sanga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Sagamihara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kyoto Sanga than the current prediction. (-28.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kyoto Sanga that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sagamihara than the current prediction. (+9.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sagamihara could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.2%	9.5%	14.3%

Kyoto Sanga - Sagamihara Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Kyoto will win (votes: 16 - 76.2%). Sagamihara will win (votes: 3 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 9.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kyoto: 58% – 94.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League and 21 in the zone Relegation ~ J3 League).

Kyoto is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Sagamihara is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Kyoto could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Kyoto is absolute favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Kyoto won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kyoto Sanga
Japan J2 League
02.10.21	V-Varen Nagasaki - Kyoto Sanga	2:0 ✺
25.09.21	Kyoto Sanga - Tochigi	2:0 ✺
18.09.21	Montedio Yamagata - Kyoto Sanga	0:2 ✺
11.09.21	Kyoto Sanga - Ryūkyū	2:1 ✺
07.09.21	Matsumoto Yamaga - Kyoto Sanga	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LWWWT
- SC Sagamihara
Japan J2 League
03.10.21	Sagamihara - Mito HollyHock	4:4 ✺
25.09.21	Omiya Ardija - Sagamihara	1:0 ✺
19.09.21	Sagamihara - Renofa Yamaguchi	2:0 ✺
11.09.21	V-Varen Nagasaki - Sagamihara	0:0 ✺
04.09.21	Sagamihara - JEF United Chiba	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.7 TLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
27.02.21	Sagamihara - Kyoto Sanga	0:2

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