Match Info

J1 League - Round 1

Date: 9 August 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Peace Stadium (Nagasaki) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Japan	19:00	DAZN Japan
Usa	06:00	SportsEngine Play


	V-Varen Nagasaki		Kyoto Sanga

	1	X	2
	3.40	3.20	2.15	Watch
	3.40	3.20	2.15
	3.05	3.10	2.30	Watch
	3.57	3.33	2.23
	3.37	3.14	2.29	Watch
	3.40	3.25	2.19
	3.61	3.23	2.15	Watch
	3.35	3.20	2.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.39 ↑ (2.88)	3.21 ↓ (3.24)	2.21 ↓ (2.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

V-Varen Nagasaki
27.8%

Draw
29.5%

Kyoto Sanga
42.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

32.8%

29.2%

38%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

V-Varen Nagasaki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Kyoto Sanga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10%	60%	30%

V Varen Nagasaki - Kyoto Sanga Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. V-Varen Nagasaki will win (votes: 1 - 10%). Kyoto will win (votes: 3 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 60%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Goto M. (G) 31. Doi K. 25. Ominami T. 4. Dudu Giusti 3. Sekiguchi M. 5. Yamaguchi H. (C) 24. Yamada R. 22. Onaga H. 41. Hasegawa M. 8. Iwasaki Y. 9. Thiago	1. Ota G. (G) 2. Fukuda S. 43. Weverton 34. Henrique Trevisan 44. Sato K. 6. Joao Pedro 10. Fukuoka S. 26. Kato R. 39. Hirato T. 77. Arai H. 9. Rafael Elias (C)
Substitutes
29. Arai I. 11. Campbell N. 21. Diego Pituca 16. Emerson Deocleciano 13. Hatano G. (G) 34. Matsumoto T. 19. Sawada T. 50. Shindo R. 18. Yamasaki R.	16. Hiraoka T. 21. Kakoi K. (G) 23. Kato T. 93. Nagasawa S. 15. Nagata K. 7. Okugawa M. 17. Souza Alex 50. Suzuki Y. 25. Yoon S.
Coaches
Takagi T.	Popovic R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, Thiago ⚽,
29', 2 - 0, Thiago ⚽, Iwasaki Y. (A),
34', Joao Pedro 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Henrique Trevisan ↓, Nagata K. ↑,
46', Hirato T. ↓, Souza Alex ↑,
46', Fukuoka S. ↓, Yoon S. ↑,
50', Weverton 🟨,
54', 2 - 1, Rafael Elias ⚽, Kato R. (A),
63', Dudu Giusti ↓, Arai I. ↑,
69', Kato R. ↓, Kato T. ↑,
73', Thiago ↓, Yamasaki R. ↑,
76', Nagata K. ↓, Suzuki Y. ↑,
78', Rafael Elias 🟨,
86', Yamada R. ↓, Diego Pituca ↑,
86', Iwasaki Y. ↓, Emerson Deocleciano ↑,
87', Arai H. ↓, Nagasawa S. ↑,
88', Sekiguchi M. ↓, Shindo R. ↑,
90+3', Onaga H. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, V-Varen Nagasaki won 2.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in V-Varen Nagasaki: Emerson Deocleciano (Knee Injury) Nagura T. (Illness)

There will not play in Kyoto: Yonemoto T. (Foot Injury)

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, V-Varen Nagasaki won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 15:14. (average 0.8:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, V-Varen Nagasaki won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:5. (average 0.9:0.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	V-Varen Nagasaki	10	2	3	5	11:18	-7	9
16	Kyoto	10	2	2	6	11:19	-8	8

Outrights of Japan J1 League for now

Kyoto: 0.6% V-Varen Nagasaki: 0.43%

Last Results with these Odds

Kyoto Sanga - the odds 2.49 are the expected chance of winning is 37.98%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- V-Varen Nagasaki
Club Friendly
14.07.26	NEC Nijmegen - V-Varen Nagasaki	3:1 ✺
Japan J1 League
06.06.26	Mito HollyHock - V-Varen Nagasaki	0:1 ✺
30.05.26	V-Varen Nagasaki - Mito HollyHock	1:0 ✺
23.05.26	Kyoto Sanga - V-Varen Nagasaki	1:0 ✺
17.05.26	V-Varen Nagasaki - Vissel Kobe	3:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.6 LWWLW
- Kyoto Sanga
Japan J1 League
06.06.26	Kashiwa Reysol - Kyoto Sanga	0:1 ✺
30.05.26	Kyoto Sanga - Kashiwa Reysol	2:6 ✺
23.05.26	Kyoto Sanga - V-Varen Nagasaki	1:0 ✺
17.05.26	Kyoto Sanga - Sanfrecce Hiroshima	0:4 ✺
13.05.26	Vissel Kobe - Kyoto Sanga	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J1 League
23.05.26	Kyoto Sanga - V-Varen Nagasaki	1:0
18.03.26	V-Varen Nagasaki - Kyoto Sanga	1:2
Japan J2 League
02.10.21	V-Varen Nagasaki - Kyoto Sanga	2:0
03.07.21	Kyoto Sanga - V-Varen Nagasaki	0:2
02.12.20	Kyoto Sanga - V-Varen Nagasaki	2:1
25.07.20	V-Varen Nagasaki - Kyoto Sanga	1:0
21.09.19	V-Varen Nagasaki - Kyoto Sanga	1:0

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