Match Info

Date: 25 September 2021, Saturday


	Kyoto Sanga		Tochigi

	1	X	2
	1.72	3.3	4.75	Watch
	1.62	3.25	5.5
	1.75	3.2	5.25	Watch
	1.7	3.2	5.2
	1.74	3.4	5.92
	1.66	3.3	5.25
	1.75	3.44	5.35	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↑ (1.63)	3.3 ↓ (3.6)	5.32 ↑ (5.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kyoto Sanga
54.4%

Draw
28.1%

Tochigi
17.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.9%

25.7%

17.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.8%

14.8%

30.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kyoto Sanga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Tochigi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kyoto Sanga than the current prediction. (-21.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kyoto Sanga that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tochigi than the current prediction. (+12.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tochigi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Kyoto Sanga - Tochigi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League and 14).

Instantly two teams are in a excellent shape.

In this match Kyoto is a favorite.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Kyoto won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 12-17.

Including matches at home between the teams Kyoto won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kyoto Sanga
Japan J2 League
18.09.21	Montedio Yamagata - Kyoto Sanga	0:2 ✺
11.09.21	Kyoto Sanga - Ryūkyū	2:1 ✺
07.09.21	Matsumoto Yamaga - Kyoto Sanga	2:2 ✺
04.09.21	Ventforet Kofu - Kyoto Sanga	3:0 ✺
28.08.21	Kyoto Sanga - Tokyo Verdy	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WWTLW
- Tochigi SC
Japan J2 League
18.09.21	Tochigi - Mito HollyHock	0:0 ✺
11.09.21	Fagiano Okayama - Tochigi	0:1 ✺
05.09.21	Tochigi - Renofa Yamaguchi	3:2 ✺
29.08.21	Ehime - Tochigi	0:1 ✺
25.08.21	Tochigi - Thespakusatsu Gunma	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 TWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
06.06.21	Tochigi - Kyoto Sanga	0:0
08.11.20	Tochigi - Kyoto Sanga	1:0
23.09.20	Kyoto Sanga - Tochigi	3:2
10.08.19	Kyoto Sanga - Tochigi	2:2
07.04.19	Tochigi - Kyoto Sanga	1:2
22.09.18	Kyoto Sanga - Tochigi	0:2
03.05.18	Tochigi - Kyoto Sanga	3:1

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