Match Info

Date: 7 September 2021, Tuesday


	Matsumoto Yamaga		Kyoto Sanga

	1	X	2
	3.75	3.4	1.83	Watch
	3.9	3.4	1.78
	4.5	3.4	1.8	Watch
	4.2	3.25	1.83
	4.69	3.39	1.9
	4.5	3.2	1.8
	4.25	3.54	1.88	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.26 ↓ (4.59)	3.37 ↑ (3.25)	1.83 ↑ (1.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Matsumoto Yamaga
21.8%

Draw
27.5%

Kyoto Sanga
50.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.2%

28.6%

51.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.1%

22.9%

64.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matsumoto Yamaga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Kyoto Sanga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matsumoto Yamaga than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Matsumoto Yamaga that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kyoto Sanga than the current prediction. (+13.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kyoto Sanga could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
5.9%	7.4%	86.8%

Matsumoto Yamaga - Kyoto Sanga Predictions

Users Predictions: Kyoto Sanga will win (59 of 68 users predict this - 86.76%).
Confidence interval (95%): 78.7% – 94.82%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Recent matches Matsumoto Yamaga is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Kyoto is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Kyoto is a favorite.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Matsumoto Yamaga won 4 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Matsumoto Yamaga won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matsumoto Yamaga
Japan J2 League
04.09.21	Matsumoto Yamaga - Júbilo Iwata	0:4 ✺
29.08.21	Omiya Ardija - Matsumoto Yamaga	4:0 ✺
22.08.21	Matsumoto Yamaga - Ehime	0:1 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
18.08.21	Gamba Osaka - Matsumoto Yamaga	2:0 ET ✺
Japan J2 League
09.08.21	Blaublitz Akita - Matsumoto Yamaga	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LLLLW
- Kyoto Sanga
Japan J2 League
04.09.21	Ventforet Kofu - Kyoto Sanga	3:0 ✺
28.08.21	Kyoto Sanga - Tokyo Verdy	3:1 ✺
22.08.21	Mito HollyHock - Kyoto Sanga	0:2 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
18.08.21	Kyoto Sanga - Urawa Red Diamonds	0:1 ✺
Japan J2 League
09.08.21	Kyoto Sanga - Machida Zelvia	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
07.03.21	Kyoto Sanga - Matsumoto Yamaga	0:0
29.11.20	Matsumoto Yamaga - Kyoto Sanga	0:0
23.08.20	Kyoto Sanga - Matsumoto Yamaga	2:2
21.07.18	Matsumoto Yamaga - Kyoto Sanga	1:0
09.06.18	Kyoto Sanga - Matsumoto Yamaga	0:1
19.11.17	Matsumoto Yamaga - Kyoto Sanga	0:1
22.04.17	Kyoto Sanga - Matsumoto Yamaga	1:1

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