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Köln - Heidenheim

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Match Info

  • Bundesliga - Round 33
  • Date: 10 May 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished
  • Location: RheinEnergieStadion (Cologne) 🌤️ ...
  • Referee: Jablonski S. (Ger)
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    Köln Heidenheim
    Köln Heidenheim
    1 X 2
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    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.94 ↑
    (1.7)    		 4.08 ↓
    (4.11)    		 3.5 ↓
    (4.37)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

    • The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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    Current Win Probability

    Köln
    49.3%    		Draw
    23.4%    		Heidenheim
    27.3%

    Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
    55.5% 22.9% 21.6%

    Our Initial ML Estimation
    57.5% 23.7% 18.8%


    Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
  • Köln has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Köln's form might have worsened.
  • Heidenheim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Heidenheim's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Köln than the current prediction. (+8.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Köln, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Heidenheim than the current prediction. (-8.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Heidenheim, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

    • Who will win by Users?

    1
    X
    2
    35% 22.5% 42.5%

    Köln - Heidenheim Predictions

  • Users Predictions: 40 users predict this event. Köln will win (votes: 14 - 35%). Heidenheim will win (votes: 17 - 42.5%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 22.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Heidenheim: 27.2% – 57.8%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH +0.5 - Heidenheim (1.80) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Heidenheim will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Köln (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Heidenheim (votes: 5 - 83.3%).
  • Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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    Lineups

    Starting Lineups
      1. GermanySchwabe M. (C)
    28. NorwaySebulonsen S.
      2. SwitzerlandSchmied J.
    39. TurkeyOzkacar C.
    32. USALund K.
      5. GermanyKrauss T.
    18. IcelandJohannesson I.
    37. GermanyMaina L.
    16. PolandKaminski J.
    30. GermanyBulter M.
    13. GermanyEl Mala S.
    		40. GermanyFeller F. (G)
    23. GermanyTraore O. H.
      6. GermanyMainka P. (C)
    19. GermanyFohrenbach J.
    26. GermanyBehrens H.
      3. GermanySchoppner J.
    30. GermanyDorsch N.
      8. TurkeyDinkci E.
    22. GermanyIbrahimovic A.
    18. GermanyPieringer M.
    11. GeorgiaZivzivadze B.
    Substitutes
    17. BelgiumCastro-Montes A.
      3. GermanyHeintz D.
      8. BosniaHuseinbasic D.
    11. AustriaKainz F.
    38. GermanyNiang Y.
    29. GermanyThielmann J.
    33. Netherlandsvan den Berg R.
      7. GermanyWaldschmidt L.
    20. GermanyZieler R. (G)
    		21. GermanyBeck A.
    10. GermanyConteh C.
    17. AustriaHonsak M.
    20. GermanyKerber L.
    16. GermanyNiehues J.
    41. GermanyRamaj D. (G)
      9. GermanySchimmer S.
      4. GermanySiersleben T.
    25. SwitzerlandStergiou L.
    Coaches
         GermanyWagner R.
    		     GermanySchmidt F.

    Key Events of the Match

    • 1st Half (1 - 2)
    • 8', 0 - 1, Schoppner J. ⚽, Ibrahimovic A. (A),
    • 10', 1 - 1, Bulter M. ⚽, Krauss T. (A),
    • 28', 1 - 2, Ibrahimovic A. ⚽,
    • 30', Dinkci E. 🟨,
    • 37', Zivzivadze B. 🟨,
    • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
    • 55', El Mala S. 🟨,
    • 59', Krauss T. ↓, Waldschmidt L. ↑,
    • 72', Schmied J. ↓, Castro-Montes A. ↑,
    • 72', Maina L. ↓, Kainz F. ↑,
    • 72', 1 - 3, Schoppner J. ⚽,
    • 76', Traore O. H. ↓, Stergiou L. ↑,
    • 76', Ibrahimovic A. ↓, Conteh C. ↑,
    • 84', Dinkci E. ↓, Honsak M. ↑,
    • 84', Zivzivadze B. ↓, Kerber L. ↑,
    • 89', Lund K. ↓, Niang Y. ↑,
    • 89', Ozkacar C. ↓, Heintz D. ↑,
    • 89', Johannesson I. 🟨,
    • 89', Pieringer M. ↓, Schimmer S. ↑,

    Preview

  • We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 14 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga).
  • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
  • Köln could have a small edge in this match.
  • There will not play in Köln: Ache R. (Muscle Injury) Hubers T. (Knee Injury) Kilian L. (Knee Injury) Martel E. (Yellow Cards)
  • There will not play in Heidenheim: Conteh S. (Knee Injury) Paqarada L. (Knee Injury)
  • There are questionable in Heidenheim: Busch M. (Injury) Fohrenbach J. (Concussion)
  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Köln won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:8. (average 1.4:1.6).
  • Including home matches between the teams, Köln won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

    • Standings

    PlWDLDiffPts
    12FC Koln72238:11-38

    Last Results with these Odds

    Heidenheim - the odds 4.37 are the expected chance of winning is 21.57%, but this team recently wins 27% of matches with these odds.

    Form
    ✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;
    - 1. FC Köln
    German Bundesliga
    02.05.26 Union Berlin - Köln 2:2 ✺
    25.04.26 Köln - Bayer Leverkusen 1:2 ✺
    17.04.26 St. Pauli - Köln 1:1 ✺
    12.04.26 Köln - Werder Bremen 3:1 ✺
    05.04.26 Eintracht Frankfurt - Köln 2:2 ✺
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9
    TLTWT
    - 1. FC Heidenheim 1846
    German Bundesliga
    02.05.26 Bayern Munich - Heidenheim 3:3 ✺
    25.04.26 Heidenheim - St. Pauli 2:0 ✺
    19.04.26 Freiburg - Heidenheim 2:1 ✺
    11.04.26 Heidenheim - Union Berlin 3:1 ✺
    04.04.26 Borussia Mönchengladbach - Heidenheim 2:2 ✺
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 31.8
    TWLWT
    Latest Head to Head
    German Bundesliga
    10.01.26 Heidenheim - Köln 2:2
    18.05.24 Heidenheim - Köln 4:1
    13.01.24 Köln - Heidenheim 1:1
    German 2 Bundesliga
    07.04.19 Heidenheim - Köln 0:2
    27.10.18 Köln - Heidenheim 1:1
    Upcoming Matches
    ✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;
    - 1. FC Köln
    German Bundesliga
    01.11.26 Union Berlin - Köln ✺
    - 1. FC Heidenheim 1846
    German 2 Bundesliga
    31.10.26 Karlsruher - Heidenheim ✺

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