Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 3

Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday

Location: RheinEnergieStadion (Cologne)

Referee: Exner F. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Köln		Werder Bremen

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.9	3.25	Watch
	2.05	3.70	3.30
	2.02	3.80	3.20	Watch
	2.13	3.86	3.41
	2.11	3.86	3.18	Watch
	2.1	3.8	3.3
	2.07	3.94	3.28	Watch
	2.11	3.9	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↑ (2.05)	3.85 ↑ (3.77)	3.28 ↓ (3.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Köln
46%

Draw
24.9%

Werder Bremen
29.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.3%

25.2%

28.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Köln has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Werder Bremen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	5.6%	11.1%

Köln - Werder Bremen Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Köln (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Werder (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3 - over (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

New Consensus by Tipsters:

O/U 2.5 - over (1.53) (votes: 89%) ⭐ Best Value.

Users Predictions: Köln will win (15 of 18 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 66.11% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Köln (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Werder (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Schwabe M. (C) 17. Castro-Montes A. 22. Simpson-Pusey J. 24. Lochoshvili L. 14. Mensah G. 30. Bulter M. 5. Krauss T. 6. Skhiri E. 47. Moore M. 37. Maina L. 27. Dallinga T.	1. Hein K. (G) 13. Arthur 5. Pieper A. 32. Friedl M. (C) 2. Deman O. 15. Reis L. 44. Regeer Y. 18. Dinkci E. 20. Chuki 17. Grull M. 10. Fullkrug N.
Substitutes
9. Ache R. 10. El Mala S. 8. Johannesson I. 23. Okon-Engstler P. 2. Schmied J. 28. Sebulonsen S. 3. Sosa B. 29. Thielmann J. 20. Zieler R. (G)	38. Erevbenagie P. 26. Itten C. 29. Musah S. 30. Schlager A. (G) 33. Schmetgens M. 23. Stalmach D. 4. Stark N. 8. Weiser M. 3. Wojcik O.
Coaches
Wagner R.	Thioune D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
8', Dallinga T. (Penalty Awarded),
11', 1 - 0, Maina L. ⚽, Skhiri E. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
64', Dallinga T. ↓, Ache R. ↑,
65', Maina L. ↓, Johannesson I. ↑,
65', Castro-Montes A. ↓, Sebulonsen S. ↑,
69', 1 - 1, Fullkrug N. ⚽,
71', Reis L. ↓, Stalmach D. ↑,
72', Deman O. 🟨,
74', Moore M. ↓, El Mala S. ↑,
81', Arthur ↓, Schmetgens M. ↑,
81', Fullkrug N. ↓, Itten C. ↑,
83', Regeer Y. ↓, Weiser M. ↑,
83', Dinkci E. ↓, Erevbenagie P. ↑,
86', Mensah G. 🟨,
90', Krauss T. ↓, Okon-Engstler P. ↑,
90+2', Okon-Engstler P. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Köln won 1.

Werder's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Werder may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Köln might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Köln: Hubers T. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Werder: Agu F. (Calf Injury) Lynen S. (Hip Injury) Njinmah J. (Thigh Injury) Stage J. (Muscle Injury) Topp K. (Knee Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Köln won 5 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 26:26. (average 1.3:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Köln won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 17:8. (average 1.9:0.9).

Outrights of German Bundesliga for now

Werder Bremen: 0.23%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Werder Bremen	4	2	1	1	8:8	0	7
13	FC Koln	4	1	1	2	6:9	-3	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- 1. FC Köln
German Bundesliga
04.09.26	Stuttgart - Köln	4:1 ✺
29.08.26	Köln - Hoffenheim	3:2 ✺
German DFB Pokal
24.08.26	Würzburger Kickers - Köln	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
31.07.26	Köln - Hertha Berlin	2:2 ✺
German Bundesliga
16.05.26	Bayern Munich - Köln	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LWWTL
- Werder Bremen
German Bundesliga
05.09.26	Werder Bremen - RB Leipzig	3:1 ✺
30.08.26	Freiburg - Werder Bremen	4:1 ✺
German DFB Pokal
22.08.26	Lüneburger Hansa - Werder Bremen	0:3 ✺
Club Friendly
15.08.26	Werder Bremen - Auxerre	0:1 ✺
01.08.26	Energie Cottbus - Werder Bremen	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
12.04.26	Köln - Werder Bremen	3:1
29.11.25	Werder Bremen - Köln	1:1
16.02.24	Köln - Werder Bremen	0:1
23.09.23	Werder Bremen - Köln	2:1
20.05.23	Werder Bremen - Köln	1:1
21.01.23	Köln - Werder Bremen	7:1
07.03.21	Köln - Werder Bremen	1:1

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