Match Info

GERMANY: 3. LIGA - ROUND 24

Date: 3 February 2024, Saturday

Location: Stadion Lohmühle (Lubeck)

Referee: Speckner M. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	Magenta Sport


	Lübeck		Ulm 1846

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.3	2.05
	3.4	3.4	2.1
	3.3	3.4	2.1	Watch
	3.38	3.35	2.13
	3.42	3.49	2.2
	3.2	3.25	2
	3.38	3.38	2.1	Watch
	3.3	3.35	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.34 ↓ (3.43)	3.37 ↑ (3.37)	2.1 ↑ (2.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lübeck
27.9%

Draw
27.7%

Ulm 1846
44.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.2%

27.8%

45%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.6%

27.4%

44.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lübeck has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Ulm 1846 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lübeck than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ulm 1846 than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	5.6%	94.4%

Lübeck - Ulm 1846 Predictions

Users Predictions: Ulm 1846 will win (34 of 36 users predict this - 94.44%).
Confidence interval (95%): 86.95% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Klewin P. (G) 22. Sommer L. 30. Lohden J. 3. Kastenhofer N. 37. Sternberg J. 20. Taffertshofer U. (C) 8. Egerer F. 5. Herzog A. 21. Velasco R. 10. Farrona-Pulido M. 9. Beleme D.	39. Ortag C. (G) 32. Strompf P. 5. Reichert J. (C) 6. Geyer T. 7. Allgeier B. 26. Maier P. 23. Brandt M. 43. Rosch R. 11. Chessa D. 22. Scienza L. 33. Higl F.
Substitutes
31. Boland M. 39. Breier P. 29. Facklam M. 25. Gozusirin T. 17. Grupe T. 7. Hauptmann M. 27. Reddemann S. 35. Stein Y. (G) 13. Thiel M.	8. Ahrend L. 19. Hannemann M. 21. Jann N. 24. Kastanaras T. 35. Kudala J. 10. Ludwig A. 1. Otto L. (G) 9. Roser L. 25. Yarbrough L.
Coaches
Schnorrenberg F.	Worle T.

Preview

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Ulm will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Lübeck won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vfb Lübeck
German 3 Bundesliga
27.01.24	Erzgebirge Aue - Lübeck	2:0 ✺
23.01.24	Lübeck - 1860 München	1:1 ✺
20.01.24	Lübeck - Waldhof Mannheim	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
14.01.24	Hansa Rostock - Lübeck	1:1 ✺
German 3 Bundesliga
19.12.23	Sandhausen - Lübeck	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.7 LTWTW
- Ulm 1846
German 3 Bundesliga
27.01.24	Ulm 1846 - Duisburg	2:2 ✺
24.01.24	Arminia Bielefeld - Ulm 1846	0:2 ✺
21.01.24	Ulm 1846 - Unterhaching	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
05.01.24	Karlsruher - Ulm 1846	4:0 ✺
German 3 Bundesliga
19.12.23	Saarbrücken - Ulm 1846	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 TWWLL

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
02.09.23	Ulm 1846 - Lübeck	3:0

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