Match Info

Serie D - Group F - Round 19

Date: 11 January 2026, Sunday


	Maceratese		Ostia Mare

	1	X	2
	2.58	3.4	2.32
	3.21	3.15	2.15	Watch
	3.19	3.13	2.14
	3.2	3.1	2.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.05 ↑ (2.89)	3.2 ↓ (3.25)	2.19 ↓ (2.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maceratese
29.9%

Draw
28.5%

Ostia Mare
41.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.5%

28%

40.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.3%

27.3%

39.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maceratese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Ostia Mare has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maceratese than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ostia Mare than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Maceratese - Ostia Mare Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
23', 1 - 0, ⚽,
45+11', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
61', 1 - 2, ⚽,
79', 1 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 9 and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Ostia Mare will hold a modest advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Maceratese	6	2	1	3	7:9	-2	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SS Maceratese
Italian Serie D - Group F
04.01.26	Vigor Senigallia - Maceratese	1:0 ✺
21.12.25	Maceratese - Chieti	4:0 ✺
14.12.25	Giulianova - Maceratese	2:1 ✺
07.12.25	Maceratese - UniPomezia	2:1 ✺
30.11.25	Recanatese - Maceratese	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LWLWT
- AS Ostia Mare Lido Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group F
04.01.26	Ostia Mare - Ancona	0:1 ✺
21.12.25	Ostia Mare - Giulianova	1:1 ✺
14.12.25	Termoli - Ostia Mare	0:1 ✺
07.12.25	L Aquila - Ostia Mare	3:0 ✺
30.11.25	Ostia Mare - Notaresco	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LTWLT

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