The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
LA Galaxy II 37.5%
Draw 24.3%
New Mexico United 38.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
34.7%
25.7%
39.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33.5%
26.6%
41%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
LA Galaxy II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
New Mexico United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for LA Galaxy II than the current prediction. (-4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for New Mexico United than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
44.4%
22.2%
33.3%
LA Galaxy II - New Mexico United Predictions
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. LA Galaxy II will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). New Mexico will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Confidence interval (95%) for LA Galaxy II: 11.9% – 76.9%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
LA Galaxy II has the most likely position - 7 (14.65%), has project points - 45, has currently - 31, has a chance of playoffs (42%), has a small chance of qtrs (13%), has a very small chance of semis (4%), has a very small chance of final (1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
This event has small quality16, small importance20, small match rating18. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
LA Galaxy II is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches New Mexico is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
New Mexico could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Recently LA Galaxy II have a series of guest games.
In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
Last 2 head-to-head matches LA Galaxy II won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-3.
Including matches at home between the teams LA Galaxy II won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.