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Current Win Probability
San Diego Loyal 62.7%
Draw 20.4%
LA Galaxy II 16.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
61.4%
21.7%
16.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
60%
21.2%
17.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
San Diego Loyal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
The chances for LA Galaxy II have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Diego Loyal than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for LA Galaxy II than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
66.7%
22.2%
11.1%
San Diego Loyal - LA Galaxy II Predictions
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. San Diego Loyal will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). LA Galaxy II will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Confidence interval (95%) for San Diego Loyal: 35.9% – 97.5%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Preview
Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
San Diego Loyal has the most likely position - 3 (22.93%), has project points - 59, has currently - 34, has a very good chance of playoffs (96%), has a good chance of qtrs (57%), has a chance of semis (29%), has a small chance of final (14%), has a small chance of win league (6%).
LA Galaxy II has the most likely position - 8 (16.04%), has project points - 45, has currently - 27, has a chance of playoffs (34%), has a small chance of qtrs (11%), has a very small chance of semis (3%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
This event has small quality16, small importance17, small match rating16. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches San Diego Loyal won 4.
San Diego Loyal is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Recent matches LA Galaxy II is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
San Diego Loyal could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Recently San Diego Loyal have a series of home games.
In this match San Diego Loyal is a favorite.
Our prediction for today's San Diego Loyal to win the game is with odds 1.46.
Last 10 head-to-head matches San Diego Loyal won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 19-8.
Including matches at home between the teams San Diego Loyal won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-5.