The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
LA Galaxy II 45.4%
Draw 25.5%
Orange County SC 29.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
45.6%
26.8%
27.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.6%
27.4%
28.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
LA Galaxy II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
Orange County SC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for LA Galaxy II than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orange County SC than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
12.5%
37.5%
LA Galaxy II - Orange County SC Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. LA Galaxy II will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Orange County SC will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for LA Galaxy II: 15.4% – 84.6%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 12).
LA Galaxy II has the most likely position - 7 (15.97%), has project points - 48, has currently - 30, has a good chance of playoffs (54%), has a chance of qtrs (20%), has a small chance of semis (6%), has a very small chance of final (2%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Orange County SC has the most likely position - 13 (39.09%), has project points - 36, has currently - 19, has a very small chance of playoffs (4%), has a very small chance of qtrs (2%), has a very small chance of semis (<1%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
This event has small quality15, small importance18, small match rating16. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches LA Galaxy II won 3.
The game of competitors is shaky now.
LA Galaxy II could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Recently LA Galaxy II have a series of guest games.
LA Galaxy II will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 24 head-to-head matches LA Galaxy II won 11 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 36-33.
Including matches at home between the teams LA Galaxy II won 4 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 16-12.
Watch
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