The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
New Mexico United 28.6%
Draw 26.6%
Sacramento Republic 44.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
28.9%
27.9%
43.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
28.3%
27.3%
44.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
New Mexico United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
Sacramento Republic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for New Mexico United than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sacramento Republic than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
25%
25%
New Mexico United - Sacramento Republic Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. New Mexico will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Sacramento Republic will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Shakes K. (G) 27. Howell M. 4. Keller K. 2. Hamalainen N. 3. Gloster C. 15. Jabang O. 14. Dennis C. 11. Nava C. 21. Noel V. 31. Melto Quiah J. 10. Hurst G. (C)
1. Vitiello D. (G) 2. Gurr J. 5. Timmer J. 4. Desmond L. (C) 3. Spaulding R. 19. Midence A. 24. Casas J. 27. Crisostomo D. 20. Willey B. 8. Rodriguez M. 26. Jennings C.
Substitutes
29. Archimede L. 24. Blackett T. 33. Pannenberg A. (G) 9. Rennicks J. 8. Vargas M. 28. Wilkerson C. 6. Zelalem G.
11. Ajago F. 22. Benitez M. 71. Edwards K. 15. Essel A. 18. Kaye M. 6. Kleemann F. 21. Leibold T. 7. Malango M. 31. Randolph J. (G) 10. Rodriguez A. 16. Wolff T.
Coaches
Sanchez D.
Collins N.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
12', 0 - 1, Rodriguez M. (Penalty Awarded),
45+1', Melto Quiah J. ↓, Wilkerson C. ↑,
45+3', Hurst G. 🟨,
45+4', Nava C. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', Noel V. ↓, Rennicks J. ↑,
49', 0 - 2, Rodriguez M. ⚽, Gurr J. (A),
57', Timmer J. ↓, Kleemann F. ↑,
67', Spaulding R. ↓, Wolff T. ↑,
67', Midence A. ↓, Essel A. ↑,
67', Jennings C. ↓, Edwards K. ↑,
71', Rodriguez M. 🟨,
73', 1 - 2, Hurst G. ⚽,
74', Nava C. ↓, Zelalem G. ↑,
74', Howell M. ↓, Archimede L. ↑,
78', 1 - 3, Edwards K. ⚽, Rodriguez M. (A),
82', Archimede L. 🟨,
85', 2 - 3, Archimede L. ⚽, Gloster C. (A),
86', Crisostomo D. 🟨,
86', Dennis C. ↓, Vargas M. ↑,
86', Casas J. ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
90+3', Kleemann F. 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, New Mexico won 2.
Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.
Sacramento Republic is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 14 head-to-head meetings, New Mexico has recorded 4 wins, 2 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 12:20 (averaging 0.9:1.4 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for New Mexico against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with 7:8 goals (averaging 1.4:1.6 per game).
Brazil
North-central-america
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Shakes K. (G) 
Howell M. 
Hamalainen N. 
Dennis C. 
Noel V. 
Melto Quiah J. 
Hurst G. (C) 
Desmond L. (C) 
Midence A. 
Casas J. 
Archimede L. 
Vargas M. 
Ajago F. 
Benitez M. 
Edwards K. 
Kaye M. 
Leibold T. 
Malango M. 
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