Match Info

Date: 31 July 2022, Sunday

Location: MSU Soccer Park (New York)


	New York Red Bulls 2		New Mexico United

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.75	1.77
	3.4	4	1.77
	3.55	3.7	1.76
	3.76	4.25	1.8
	3.64	3.8	1.82	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.57 ↓ (7.8)	3.9 ↓ (5.5)	1.78 ↑ (1.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

New York Red Bulls 2
25.5%

Draw
23.4%

New Mexico United
51.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

11.6%

16.5%

71.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

New York Red Bulls 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in New York Red Bulls 2's performance.

New Mexico United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-20.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and New Mexico United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
38.5%	7.7%	53.8%

New York Red Bulls 2 - New Mexico United Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. New York Red Bulls 2 will win (votes: 5 - 38.5%). New Mexico will win (votes: 7 - 53.8%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for New Mexico: 26.7% – 80.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 14 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

New York Red Bulls 2 has the most likely position - 14 (62.44%), has project points - 20, has currently - 9, has a very small chance of playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of qtrs (<1%), has a very small chance of semis (<1%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has very small quality 8, very small importance 4, very small match rating 6. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

New York Red Bulls 2 is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

New Mexico is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match New Mexico is absolute favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- New York Red Bulls 2
USL Championship
23.07.22	Monterey Bay - New York Red Bulls 2	2:0 ✺
15.07.22	New York Red Bulls 2 - Indy Eleven	1:0 ✺
09.07.22	Louisville City - New York Red Bulls 2	6:0 ✺
01.07.22	New York Red Bulls 2 - Pittsburgh Riverhounds	0:3 ✺
25.06.22	El Paso Locomotive - New York Red Bulls 2	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LWLLL
- New Mexico United
USL Championship
23.07.22	Detroit City - New Mexico United	2:2 ✺
16.07.22	New Mexico United - Pittsburgh Riverhounds	1:1 ✺
13.07.22	Tulsa - New Mexico United	1:2 ✺
09.07.22	New Mexico United - Rio Grande Valley	1:1 ✺
06.07.22	New Mexico United - Rio Grande Valley	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 TTWTW

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