The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Vinotinto 67.5%
Draw 20.7%
Cuenca Juniors 11.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
52.1%
28%
19.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
56.1%
26%
18.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vinotinto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vinotinto's performance.
Cuenca Juniors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cuenca Juniors might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vinotinto than the current prediction. (-11.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vinotinto that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cuenca Juniors than the current prediction. (+6.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cuenca Juniors could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
83.3%
16.7%
0%
Vinotinto - Cuenca Juniors Predictions
Users Predictions:
Vinotinto will win
(5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%). Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
18', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
75', 1 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
Vinotinto has enjoyed a winning run and is in top form (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Cuenca Juniors is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).
In this match, Vinotinto enters as the overwhelming favorite.
Our forecast points to a victory for Vinotinto in today's match, at odds of 1.55.
In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Vinotinto has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 5:0 (averaging 2.5:0 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Vinotinto against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 3:0 goals.
Ecuador
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