Match Info

Liga Pro - Round 23

Date: 3 August 2026, Monday

Location: Estadio Rodrigo Paz Delgado (Quito)

Referee: Quinonez L. (Ecu)

Where to Watch on TV:


Chile	Zapping Sports
Ecuador	Teleamazonas, Zapping, Zapping Sports, Zapping Sports+
Peru	Zapping Sports
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	LDU Quito		Delfín

	1	X	2
	1.27	5.00	10.00	Watch
	1.27	4.80	8.50
	1.25	5.40	11.00	Watch
	1.28	5.64	11.34
	1.29	5.15	10.76	Watch
	1.25	5.60	11.00
	1.30	5.00	9.99	Watch
	1.28	4.90	9.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.27 ↓ (1.33)	5.19 ↑ (4.68)	10.2 ↑ (9.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

LDU Quito
73%

Draw
17.9%

Delfín
9.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.1%

19.9%

10%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.5%

19%

9.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

LDU Quito has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Delfín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for LDU Quito than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Delfín than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

LDU Quito - Delfín Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. LDU Quito will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. LDU Quito (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Valle G. (G) 28. Cuero Mercado J. W. 3. Mina R. 4. Ade R. (C) 67. Carabali J. 23. Quinonez Y. 20. Cornejo F. 8. Pretell J. 31. Rodriguez J. 11. Estrada M. 13. Corozo J.	21. Heras B. (G) 17. Rubio E. 32. Bedoya A. (C) 5. Medina O. 14. Zuniga E. 55. Reyes M. 34. Heredia G. 18. Morocho J. 50. Ozaeta T. 10. Luna D. 9. Ayunta F.
Substitutes
21. Castillo E. 16. Deyverson 22. Dominguez A. (G) 32. Gomez A. 99. Luna Tobar C. 27. Mina R. 25. Ortiz P. 7. Redes R. 12. Villa A. (G) 26. Zambrano I.	3. Aimar D. 7. Alvarez A. 31. Arce J. 51. Banguera C. 39. Caicedo E. 22. Cardenas J. (G) 16. Castro L. 33. Cisneros Montenegro A. A. 77. Hernandez B. 11. Perinciolo F. 78. Ushina K. 27. Yepez E.
Coaches
Alvarez G.	Leon J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
41', Ade R. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Cuero Mercado J. W. ↓, Redes R. ↑,
56', Reyes M. ↓, Ushina K. ↑,
56', Luna D. ↓, Cisneros Montenegro A. A. ↑,
59', Mina R. 🟨,
60', Rodriguez J. ↓, Deyverson ↑,
76', 0 - 1, Ozaeta T. ⚽, Ushina K. (A),
81', Heredia G. ↓, Castro L. ↑,
81', Ozaeta T. ↓, Arce J. ↑,
89', 1 - 1, Estrada M. ⚽, Deyverson (A),
90+6', Cornejo F. ↓, Mina R. ↑,
90+9', 2 - 1, Estrada M. ⚽, Quinonez Y. (A),

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: ) and 15 in the zone Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, LDU Quito won 3.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Delfín may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, LDU Quito is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, LDU Quito won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 31:22. (average 1.6:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, LDU Quito won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 21:7. (average 2.1:0.7).

Standings

Championship Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	LDU Quito	31	14	7	10	33:25	8	49

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- LDU Quito
Ecuadorian Copa
30.07.26	LDU Quito - Leones del Norte	6:0 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
26.07.26	Barcelona Guayaquil - LDU Quito	0:1 ✺
22.07.26	Manta - LDU Quito	1:1 ✺
18.07.26	LDU Quito - Leones del Norte	0:1 ✺
15.07.26	Universidad Católica del Ecuador - LDU Quito	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WWTLL
- Delfín SC
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
26.07.26	Delfín - Leones del Norte	0:1 ✺
21.07.26	Libertad Loja - Delfín	1:0 ✺
17.07.26	Delfín - Deportivo Macará	2:1 ✺
14.07.26	Manta - Delfín	0:1 ✺
11.07.26	Guayaquil City - Delfín	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Liga Pro
10.04.26	Delfín - LDU Quito	1:0
06.07.25	Delfín - LDU Quito	0:4
08.03.25	LDU Quito - Delfín	3:0
29.09.24	Delfín - LDU Quito	3:2
15.04.24	LDU Quito - Delfín	2:1
08.10.23	Delfín - LDU Quito	0:0
08.05.23	LDU Quito - Delfín	1:1

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