Match Info

Liga Pro - Round 21

Date: 22 July 2026, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Jocay (Manta)

Referee: Cabrera R. (Ecu)

Where to Watch on TV:


Ecuador	Zapping, Zapping Sports, Zapping Sports+
Peru	Zapping Sports
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Manta		LDU Quito

	1	X	2
	4.1	3.3	1.86	Watch
	4.20	3.10	1.78
	4.05	3.2	1.88	Watch
	4.27	3.4	1.99
	4.67	3.36	1.81	Watch
	4.2	3.35	1.89
	4.28	3.31	1.87	Watch
	4	3.2	1.87
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.22 ↓ (5)	3.28 ↓ (3.45)	1.87 ↑ (1.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Manta
22%

Draw
28.3%

LDU Quito
49.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.6%

26.9%

54.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.3%

26.4%

55.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Manta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

LDU Quito has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manta than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for LDU Quito than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that LDU Quito could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	16.7%	83.3%

Manta - LDU Quito Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. LDU Quito (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: LDU Quito will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Chavez W. (C) 27. Troya J. 4. Nazareno J. 24. Moscarelli O. 31. Mina G. 5. Ramirez B. 10. Burbano R. 17. Angulo J. 55. Verges J. 70. Nazareno J. 9. Blanco J.	1. Valle G. (G) 30. Allala Menendez G. F. 4. Ade R. (C) 44. Segovia L. 28. Cuero Mercado J. W. 26. Zambrano I. 8. Pretell J. 5. Gonzalez Baquero S. 67. Carabali J. 11. Estrada M. 13. Corozo J.
Substitutes
19. Alman J. 45. Burbano S. 7. Cabezas D. 20. Chala J. 29. Hurtado M. 6. Jimenez J. 99. Pico E. (G) 52. Rialpe J. 12. Zambrano F. (G)	21. Castillo E. 16. Deyverson 22. Dominguez A. (G) 32. Gomez A. 99. Luna Tobar C. 27. Mina R. 3. Mina R. 25. Ortiz P. 33. Quinonez L. 23. Quinonez Y. 7. Redes R. 12. Villa A. (G)
Coaches
Carvajal Burgos J. E.	Hurtado E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
12', Gonzalez Baquero S. 🟥,
17', Dominguez A. 🟨,
27', Nazareno J. 🟨,
38', Ramirez B. 🟨,
42', 0 - 1, Estrada M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
52', Moscarelli O. 🟨,
63', Carabali J. 🟨,
67', Ramirez B. ↓, Jimenez J. ↑,
70', Corozo J. ↓, Redes R. ↑,
74', 1 - 1, Angulo J. ⚽, Blanco J. (A),
74', Troya J. ↓, Alman J. ↑,
75', Angulo J. 🟨,
76', Estrada M. ↓, Deyverson ↑,
76', Zambrano I. ↓, Quinonez L. ↑,
80', Quinonez L. ↓, Mina R. ↑,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Liga Pro (Relegation Group: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Manta won 0.

Both teams are struggling and far from their best.

LDU Quito may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, LDU Quito is seen as the favorite.

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Manta won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 14:21. (average 0.8:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Manta won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:11. (average 1.3:1.4).

Standings

Championship Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	LDU Quito	31	14	7	10	33:25	8	49

Last Results with these Odds

LDU Quito - the odds 1.7 are the expected chance of winning is 54.56%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Manta FC
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
19.07.26	Guayaquil City - Manta	1:0 ✺
14.07.26	Manta - Delfín	0:1 ✺
11.07.26	Manta - Orense	0:0 ✺
03.07.26	Independiente del Valle - Manta	4:0 ✺
30.05.26	Manta - Libertad Loja	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LLTLW
- LDU Quito
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
18.07.26	LDU Quito - Leones del Norte	0:1 ✺
15.07.26	Universidad Católica del Ecuador - LDU Quito	1:0 ✺
12.07.26	LDU Quito - Libertad Loja	0:0 ✺
Ecuadorian Copa
08.07.26	Independiente Juniors - LDU Quito	1:2 penalties ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
05.07.26	Deportivo Macará - LDU Quito	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 LLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Liga Pro
21.03.26	LDU Quito - Manta	1:0
17.08.25	LDU Quito - Manta	1:1
26.04.25	Manta - LDU Quito	1:1
Ecuadorian Copa
05.06.22	Manta - LDU Quito	0:1
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
25.09.21	Manta - LDU Quito	2:2
14.04.21	LDU Quito - Manta	1:0
09.11.14	Manta - LDU Quito	3:3

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