The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
La Equidad 79.7%
Draw 14.1%
Junior Barranquilla 6.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
67.7%
22.7%
9.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
70.9%
21.7%
9.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
La Equidad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in La Equidad's performance.
Junior Barranquilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for La Equidad than the current prediction. (-8.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with La Equidad that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Junior Barranquilla than the current prediction. (+3%)
La Equidad - Junior Barranquilla Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Murillo K. (G) 28. Arbelaez C. 21. Cabrera W. 18. Carrillo D. 19. Fuentes M. 2. Lambrano D. 7. Llerena X. 9. Martinez L. 30. Munoz J. 27. Olarte A. 20. Valbuena P.
1. Ceballos K. (G) 8. Arroyo C. 2. Cabrales V. 14. Cardona M. 28. Cataneda M. 6. Hernandez P. 5. Herrera V. 18. Julio D. 21. Mendoza O. 25. Otalvarez M. 7. Santos S.
Substitutes
29. Espinosa S. 4. Fonseca J. 6. Garzon K. 1. Gonzalez V. (G) 11. Murcia K. 8. Navarro L. 10. Zamudio M.
16. Antero N. 3. Cordero C. 17. Gonzalez M. 19. Osorio E. 22. Perdomo K. 24. Renteria K. 10. Rodriguez W.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 2)
9', 1 - 0, Valbuena P. (Pen),
20', Arbelaez C. 🟨,
38', 1 - 1, Herrera V. ⚽,
40', 1 - 2, Mendoza O. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
46', Otalvarez M. ↓, Rodriguez W. ↑,
46', Cabrales V. ↓, Cordero C. ↑,
46', Ceballos K. ↓, Perdomo K. ↑,
46', Llerena X. ↓, Murcia K. ↑,
55', Munoz J. ↓, Espinosa S. ↑,
58', Mendoza O. 🟨,
59', 1 - 3, Mendoza O. ⚽,
61', Cordero C. 🟨,
67', 2 - 3, Murcia K. ⚽, Espinosa S. (A),
74', Santos S. ↓, Osorio E. ↑,
75', Mendoza O. ↓, Gonzalez M. ↑,
84', Arbelaez C. ↓, Navarro L. ↑,
84', Carrillo D. ↓, Garzon K. ↑,
86', Hernandez P. 🟨,
90', Rodriguez W. 🟨,
90+2', 3 - 3, Espinosa S. ⚽, Valbuena P. (A),
90+3', 4 - 3, Valbuena P. ⚽,
Preview
This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 9 and 15).
Recent matches La Equidad is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Junior has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
La Equidad could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match La Equidad is indisputable favorite.
Last 2 head-to-head matches La Equidad won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-4.
Including matches at home between the teams La Equidad won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-4.
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Murillo K. (G) 
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