Match Info

Segunda Division - Round 3

Date: 1 June 2025, Sunday


	La Luz		Artigas

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.2	2.85
	2.17	3.25	3
	1.99	3.29	3.77
	2.31	3.34	3	Watch
	2.2	3.3	2.9
	2.22	3.6	2.78
	2.17	3.25	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↓ (2.2)	3.32 ↑ (3.25)	3.04 ↑ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

La Luz
42.2%

Draw
27.6%

Artigas
30.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.5%

28.1%

30.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.1%

25.1%

34%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

La Luz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Artigas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for La Luz than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with La Luz that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Artigas than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

La Luz - Artigas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, Fernandez L. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
65', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Both teams are struggling and far from their best.

La Luz may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- La Luz FC
Uruguayan Segunda Division
24.05.25	La Luz - Cerrito	2:2 ✺
17.05.25	Colón Montevideo - La Luz	1:0 ✺
26.04.25	Deportivo Maldonado - La Luz	4:4 ✺
20.04.25	La Luz - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	0:2 ✺
13.04.25	Colón Montevideo - La Luz	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 TLTLT
- CA Artigas
Uruguayan Segunda Division
25.05.25	Artigas - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	0:2 ✺
17.05.25	Cerrito - Artigas	0:2 ✺
27.04.25	Artigas - Albion Montevideo	1:2 ✺
20.04.25	Artigas - Atenas de San Carlos	0:3 ✺
12.04.25	Uruguay Montevideo - Artigas	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LWLLL

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